AFL market detail

H2H market

Value

Gold Coast SunsvsBrisbane Lions

Gold Coast Suns at Neds.

Odds 1.64Fair Odds N/AMargin 5.4% · GoodSat, 6 June, 7:15 amOdds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

69.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

57.8%

At Neds

Footylab predicted edgeFootylab predicted edgeHow much Footylab thinks the H2H side may be mispriced, in percentage points.

+12.1pp

Probability band · Soft favourite 55-70%

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.4% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

N/A

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Summary

Gold Coast Suns projects at 69.9% from AFL weighted stats after availability adjustment.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

Betr

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Gold Coast Suns

Best price

1.72

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

69.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

55.0%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+14.9

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

N/A

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Unibet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Gold Coast Suns

1.65

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

69.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

57.1%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+12.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.1% · Average

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

N/A

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Neds

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Gold Coast Suns

Selected bookmaker

1.64

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

69.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

57.8%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+12.1

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.4% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

N/A

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Ladbrokes

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Gold Coast Suns

1.64

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

69.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

57.8%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+12.1

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.4% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

N/A

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

PointsBet (AU)

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Gold Coast Suns

1.63

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

69.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

58.0%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+11.9

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

N/A

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

SportsBet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Gold Coast Suns

1.63

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

69.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

58.3%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+11.6

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.2% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

N/A

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

TAB

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Gold Coast Suns

1.62

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

69.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

58.7%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+11.3

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.2% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

N/A

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Team

Mini summary

Gold Coast Suns

Best priceOddsThe quoted decimal price for the selection.

Betr|1.72

Stats impliedStats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

69.9%

Odds impliedOdds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

55.0%

Avg value scoreOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+12.4 pts

Stats ratingStats RatingA 0-100 rating for the underlying stats profile.

58.9

Availability mult

0.73 (1.07 rel)

Wins last 5Wins last 5Team wins across the most recent five available results.

3/5

Wins last 10Wins last 10Team wins across the most recent ten available results.

6/10

Gold Coast Suns are favoured by the current stats profile.

5/9 stat categories favour Gold Coast Suns.

Last 5 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 May	North Melbourne Kangaroos	L	105-111
15 May	Port Adelaide Power	W	98-73
9 May	St Kilda Saints	W	89-60
3 May	Greater Western Sydney Giants	W	83-63
25 Apr	Hawthorn Hawks	L	63-112

Recent Form

Gold Coast Suns score 81.1 | weight 0.24 | weighted contribution 19.5

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Suns	Brisbane Lions	Direction	Edge note
Recent performance scoreRecent performanceA recency-weighted result score across the latest five team games.	60	20	Higher is better	+0.5
Recent Win Rate	0.6	0.4	Higher is better	+0.2
Recent Avg Margin	3.8	-13.8	Higher is better	+1.0
Recent Avg Score For	87.6	97	Higher is better	-0.1
Recent Avg Score Against	83.8	110.8	Lower is better	+0.1
Recent Avg Scoring Shots For	23.6	27	Higher is better	-0.1
Recent Avg Scoring Shots Against	24.8	28.8	Lower is better	+0.1
Recent Inside 50 Diff	4.8	-3.2	Higher is better	+1.0
Recent Clearance Diff	-7.4	5.2	Higher is better	-1.0
Recent Contested Possession Diff	-2.8	-3.8	Higher is better	+0.2
Recent Turnover Diff	-4	7.2	Lower is better	+1.0

Home / Venue Edge

Gold Coast Suns score 66.7 | weight 0.14 | weighted contribution 9.3

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Suns	Brisbane Lions	Direction	Edge note
Match role	Home	Away	N/A	N/A
Base home advantage applied to Gold Coast Suns	Applied	Not applied	N/A	+0.2
Gold Coast Suns current-season home win rate	1	N/A	Higher is better	+0.1
Gold Coast Suns current-season home point differential	33	N/A	Higher is better	+0.1
Brisbane Lions current-season away win rate	N/A	0.5	Higher is better	-0.0
Brisbane Lions current-season away point differential	N/A	-0.167	Higher is better	-0.1
Gold Coast Suns current-season venue win rate at People First Stadium	1	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Gold Coast Suns current-season venue point differential at People First Stadium	36	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Brisbane Lions current-season venue win rate at People First Stadium	N/A	0.5	Higher is better	0.0
Brisbane Lions current-season venue point differential at People First Stadium	N/A	0	Higher is better	0.0
Gold Coast Suns home sample size	6	N/A	N/A	N/A
Brisbane Lions away sample size	N/A	6	N/A	N/A
Venue sample size	4	0	N/A	N/A

Opponent Weakness

Gold Coast Suns score 59.6 | weight 0.07 | weighted contribution 4.2

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Suns	Brisbane Lions	Direction	Edge note
Opponent Loss Rate	0.417	0.5	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Avg Margin Against	-8.833	-3.75	Higher is better	-0.4
Opponent Avg Score Against	86.583	96.583	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Avg Goals Against	12.417	14.167	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Avg Scoring Shots Against	24.5	25.75	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent Avg Inside 50S Against	51.5	54.75	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent Avg Marks Inside 50 Against	11.75	12.833	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent Avg Clearance Diff Allowed	7.5	-9.083	Higher is better	+1.0
Opponent Avg Contested Possession Diff Allowed	3.417	-5.25	Higher is better	+1.0
Opponent Avg Turnovers	63.917	66	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent Avg Clangers	54.667	54.5	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent Avg Contest Def Loss Percentage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Opponent Avg Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A
Opponent Avg Intercepts	68.25	62.833	Lower is better	-0.0

Contest, Clearance & Ruck

Gold Coast Suns score 41.0 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 3.7

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Suns	Brisbane Lions	Direction	Edge note
Avg Contested Possessions	126.667	130.917	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Contested Possession Rate	35.937	36.718	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Ground Ball Gets	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Clearances	31.917	41.75	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Centre Clearances	12.083	15.917	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Stoppage Clearances	19.833	25.833	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Hitouts To Advantage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Hitout To Advantage Rate	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Hitout Win Percentage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Contested Marks	7.833	10.417	Higher is better	-0.1

Season Strength

Gold Coast Suns score 41.9 | weight 0.12 | weighted contribution 5.0

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Suns	Brisbane Lions	Direction	Edge note
Season Win Rate	0.636	0.5	Higher is better	+0.1
Season Avg Margin	14.455	3.75	Higher is better	+0.6
Season Avg Score For	99.818	100.333	Higher is better	-0.0
Season Avg Score Against	85.364	96.583	Lower is better	+0.1
Season Avg Scoring Shot Diff	2.182	2.083	Higher is better	+0.0
Season Avg Inside 50 Diff	6.909	2.167	Higher is better	+0.5
Season Avg Clearance Diff	-6.545	9.083	Higher is better	-1.0
Season Avg Contested Possession Diff	-3.091	5.25	Higher is better	-1.0

Defence & Pressure

Gold Coast Suns score 54.1 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 4.9

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Suns	Brisbane Lions	Direction	Edge note
Avg Score Against	86.583	96.583	Lower is better	+0.1
Avg Goals Against	12.417	14.167	Lower is better	+0.1
Avg Scoring Shots Against	24.5	25.75	Lower is better	+0.0
Avg Inside 50S Against	51.5	54.75	Lower is better	+0.0
Avg Marks Inside 50 Against	11.75	12.833	Lower is better	+0.0
Avg Tackles	54.333	46	Higher is better	+0.1
Avg Tackles Inside 50	10.75	9.583	Higher is better	+0.1
Avg Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Def Half Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Intercepts	68.25	62.833	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Intercept Marks	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Spoils	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg One Percenters	41.583	42.333	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Contest Def Losses	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A
Avg Contest Def Loss Percentage	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A

Attack

Gold Coast Suns score 47.7 | weight 0.13 | weighted contribution 6.2

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Suns	Brisbane Lions	Direction	Edge note
Avg Score For	95.417	100.333	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Goals For	14	14.5	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Scoring Shots For	25.417	27.833	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Shots At Goal	28.083	30.833	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Inside 50S	56.917	56.917	Higher is better	0.0
Avg Marks Inside 50	11.833	13.333	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Score Involvements	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Score Launches	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Goal Assists	10.083	10.333	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Goal Accuracy	49.35	46.667	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Shot Efficiency	49.25	54.142	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Goal Efficiency	24.533	25.308	Higher is better	-0.0

Territory & Ball Movement

Gold Coast Suns score 51.5 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 4.6

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Suns	Brisbane Lions	Direction	Edge note
Avg Metres Gained	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Inside 50S	56.917	56.917	Higher is better	0.0
Avg Effective Disposals	274.717	269.488	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Disposal Efficiency	75.142	72.283	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Effective Kicks	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Kick Efficiency	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Marks	89.833	109.917	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Uncontested Possessions	228.25	228.25	Higher is better	0.0
Avg Bounces	10.083	6.167	Higher is better	+0.2

Discipline & Ball Security

Gold Coast Suns score 49.8 | weight 0.03 | weighted contribution 1.5

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Suns	Brisbane Lions	Direction	Edge note
Avg Turnovers	63.917	66	Lower is better	+0.0
Avg Clangers	54.667	54.5	Lower is better	-0.0
Avg Frees Against	20.417	18	Lower is better	-0.1
Avg Frees For	18.583	18.25	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Disposal Efficiency	75.142	72.283	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Effective Disposals	274.717	269.488	Higher is better	+0.0