Our Approach

How Footylab converts team stats into a stats-implied win chance, compares that with bookmaker expectation, and turns the gap into the H2H overall value score.

1. 1Build a stats score from recent form, venue, injury & availability
2. 2Convert the adjusted edge to a calibrated stats win probability
3. 3Compare against de-vigged bookmaker-implied win probability
4. 4Score the gap — positive = value, negative = ripoff

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How Footylab estimates a player's anytime try scoring chance, compares it with the raw odds-implied chance, and uses match-field ranking as secondary context.

1. 1Estimate the player's independent scoring probability from role, form, team attack, opponent weakness, venue and availability
2. 2Convert the listed decimal price into raw odds-implied probability
3. 3Score the probability gap — positive = value, negative = ripoff
4. 4Use stats rank vs. market rank as supporting context when it helps explain the angle

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