AFL market detail

H2H market

Value

North Melbourne KangaroosvsFremantle Dockers

North Melbourne Kangaroos at TAB.

Odds 4.20Fair Odds N/AMargin 5.1% · GoodSat, 6 June, 4:15 amOdds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:08 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.4%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

22.7%

At TAB

Footylab predicted edgeFootylab predicted edgeHow much Footylab thinks the H2H side may be mispriced, in percentage points.

+20.8pp

Probability band · Heavy favourite 85-100%

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.1% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.89

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Summary

North Melbourne Kangaroos projects at 43.4% from AFL weighted stats after availability adjustment.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

TAB

Odds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:08 pm UTC

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Selected bookmakerBest price

4.20

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.4%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

22.7%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+20.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.1% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.89

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Thu, 4 June, 1:09 pm UTC

Dabble AU

Odds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:07 pm UTC

North Melbourne Kangaroos

4.00

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.4%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

23.8%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+19.6

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.0% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.89

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Thu, 4 June, 1:09 pm UTC

Betr

Odds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:08 pm UTC

North Melbourne Kangaroos

4.00

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.4%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

23.8%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+19.6

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.0% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.89

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Thu, 4 June, 1:09 pm UTC

Unibet

Odds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:08 pm UTC

North Melbourne Kangaroos

3.90

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.4%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

24.1%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+19.3

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.3% · Average

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.89

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Thu, 4 June, 1:09 pm UTC

Bet Right

Odds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:07 pm UTC

North Melbourne Kangaroos

3.85

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.4%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

24.7%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+18.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.89

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Thu, 4 June, 1:09 pm UTC

Neds

Odds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:07 pm UTC

North Melbourne Kangaroos

3.80

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.4%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

24.9%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+18.5

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.7% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.89

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Thu, 4 June, 1:09 pm UTC

Ladbrokes

Odds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:08 pm UTC

North Melbourne Kangaroos

3.80

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.4%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

24.9%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+18.5

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.7% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.89

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Thu, 4 June, 1:09 pm UTC

SportsBet

Odds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:07 pm UTC

North Melbourne Kangaroos

3.80

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.4%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

25.0%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+18.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.1% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.89

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Thu, 4 June, 1:09 pm UTC

PointsBet (AU)

Odds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:08 pm UTC

North Melbourne Kangaroos

3.70

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.4%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

25.3%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+18.2

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

7.0% · Average

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.89

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Thu, 4 June, 1:09 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Team

Mini summary

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Best priceOddsThe quoted decimal price for the selection.

TAB|4.20

Stats impliedStats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.4%

Odds impliedOdds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

22.7%

Avg value scoreOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+19.1 pts

Stats ratingStats RatingA 0-100 rating for the underlying stats profile.

37.2

Availability mult

0.90 (1.03 rel)

Wins last 5Wins last 5Team wins across the most recent five available results.

1/5

Wins last 10Wins last 10Team wins across the most recent ten available results.

4/10

North Melbourne Kangaroos are favoured by the current stats profile.

5/9 stat categories favour North Melbourne Kangaroos.

Last 5 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 May	Gold Coast Suns	W	111-105
16 May	Adelaide Crows	L	65-133
9 May	Sydney Swans	L	97-105
2 May	Geelong Cats	L	86-135
26 Apr	Greater Western Sydney Giants	L	98-105

Recent Form

North Melbourne Kangaroos score 9.5 | weight 0.24 | weighted contribution 2.3

Expand metrics

Metric	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Fremantle Dockers	Direction	Edge note
Recent performance scoreRecent performanceA recency-weighted result score across the latest five team games.	33.333	100	Higher is better	-0.5
Recent Win Rate	0.2	1	Higher is better	-0.7
Recent Avg Margin	-25.2	25	Higher is better	-1.0
Recent Avg Score For	91.4	102.6	Higher is better	-0.1
Recent Avg Score Against	116.6	77.6	Lower is better	-0.2
Recent Avg Scoring Shots For	24.4	26.6	Higher is better	-0.0
Recent Avg Scoring Shots Against	28.6	22.6	Lower is better	-0.1
Recent Inside 50 Diff	0	6.8	Higher is better	-1.0
Recent Clearance Diff	-1	-0.4	Higher is better	-0.4
Recent Contested Possession Diff	-6.8	1	Higher is better	-1.0
Recent Turnover Diff	0.6	-3.6	Lower is better	-1.0

Season Strength

North Melbourne Kangaroos score 10.2 | weight 0.12 | weighted contribution 1.2

Expand metrics

Metric	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Fremantle Dockers	Direction	Edge note
Season Win Rate	0.455	0.917	Higher is better	-0.3
Season Avg Margin	-2.364	25.083	Higher is better	-1.0
Season Avg Score For	94.273	96.417	Higher is better	-0.0
Season Avg Score Against	96.636	71.333	Lower is better	-0.2
Season Avg Scoring Shot Diff	-1.455	5.5	Higher is better	-1.0
Season Avg Inside 50 Diff	-0.636	3.25	Higher is better	-1.0
Season Avg Clearance Diff	2.364	3.417	Higher is better	-0.2
Season Avg Contested Possession Diff	1.364	7.083	Higher is better	-0.7

Opponent Weakness

North Melbourne Kangaroos score 69.0 | weight 0.07 | weighted contribution 4.8

Expand metrics

Metric	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Fremantle Dockers	Direction	Edge note
Opponent Loss Rate	0.583	0.083	Higher is better	+0.8
Opponent Avg Margin Against	3.25	-25.083	Higher is better	+1.0
Opponent Avg Score Against	98	71.333	Higher is better	+0.2
Opponent Avg Goals Against	14.417	10.083	Higher is better	+0.2
Opponent Avg Scoring Shots Against	25.917	20.917	Higher is better	+0.1
Opponent Avg Inside 50S Against	52.5	50.833	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent Avg Marks Inside 50 Against	11.333	10.917	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent Avg Clearance Diff Allowed	-3.917	-3.417	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Avg Contested Possession Diff Allowed	-3.667	-7.083	Higher is better	+0.3
Opponent Avg Turnovers	60	64.75	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent Avg Clangers	55.75	55.083	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent Avg Contest Def Loss Percentage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Opponent Avg Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A
Opponent Avg Intercepts	57.833	66	Lower is better	+0.1

Home / Venue Edge

North Melbourne Kangaroos score 56.7 | weight 0.14 | weighted contribution 7.9

Expand metrics

Metric	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Fremantle Dockers	Direction	Edge note
Match role	Home	Away	N/A	N/A
Base home advantage applied to North Melbourne Kangaroos	Applied	Not applied	N/A	+0.2
North Melbourne Kangaroos current-season home win rate	0.667	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
North Melbourne Kangaroos current-season home point differential	17.167	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Fremantle Dockers current-season away win rate	N/A	0.857	Higher is better	-0.1
Fremantle Dockers current-season away point differential	N/A	19.143	Higher is better	-0.1
North Melbourne Kangaroos current-season venue win rate at Hands Oval	0.5	N/A	Higher is better	0.0
North Melbourne Kangaroos current-season venue point differential at Hands Oval	0	N/A	Higher is better	0.0
Fremantle Dockers current-season venue win rate at Hands Oval	N/A	0.5	Higher is better	0.0
Fremantle Dockers current-season venue point differential at Hands Oval	N/A	0	Higher is better	0.0
North Melbourne Kangaroos home sample size	6	N/A	N/A	N/A
Fremantle Dockers away sample size	N/A	7	N/A	N/A
Venue sample size	0	0	N/A	N/A

Defence & Pressure

North Melbourne Kangaroos score 44.5 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 4.0

Expand metrics

Metric	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Fremantle Dockers	Direction	Edge note
Avg Score Against	98	71.333	Lower is better	-0.2
Avg Goals Against	14.417	10.083	Lower is better	-0.2
Avg Scoring Shots Against	25.917	20.917	Lower is better	-0.1
Avg Inside 50S Against	52.5	50.833	Lower is better	-0.0
Avg Marks Inside 50 Against	11.333	10.917	Lower is better	-0.0
Avg Tackles	56.833	59.917	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Tackles Inside 50	11.417	9.333	Higher is better	+0.1
Avg Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Def Half Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Intercepts	57.833	66	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Intercept Marks	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Spoils	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg One Percenters	38.333	42.75	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Contest Def Losses	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A
Avg Contest Def Loss Percentage	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A

Discipline & Ball Security

North Melbourne Kangaroos score 51.9 | weight 0.03 | weighted contribution 1.6

Expand metrics

Metric	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Fremantle Dockers	Direction	Edge note
Avg Turnovers	60	64.75	Lower is better	+0.0
Avg Clangers	55.75	55.083	Lower is better	-0.0
Avg Frees Against	21.25	19	Lower is better	-0.1
Avg Frees For	21.75	16.917	Higher is better	+0.1
Avg Disposal Efficiency	76.533	75.275	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Effective Disposals	286.117	280.407	Higher is better	+0.0

Attack

North Melbourne Kangaroos score 48.8 | weight 0.13 | weighted contribution 6.3

Expand metrics

Metric	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Fremantle Dockers	Direction	Edge note
Avg Score For	94.75	96.417	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Goals For	14.083	14	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Scoring Shots For	24.333	26.417	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Shots At Goal	26.5	28.833	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Inside 50S	52.25	54.083	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Marks Inside 50	12.917	12.833	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Score Involvements	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Score Launches	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Goal Assists	9.917	10.917	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Goal Accuracy	52.992	50.033	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Shot Efficiency	50.725	53.2	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Goal Efficiency	26.892	26	Higher is better	+0.0

Territory & Ball Movement

North Melbourne Kangaroos score 50.5 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 4.5

Expand metrics

Metric	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Fremantle Dockers	Direction	Edge note
Avg Metres Gained	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Inside 50S	52.25	54.083	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Effective Disposals	286.117	280.407	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Disposal Efficiency	76.533	75.275	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Effective Kicks	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Kick Efficiency	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Marks	95.833	86.667	Higher is better	+0.1
Avg Uncontested Possessions	239.417	229.417	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Bounces	8.917	9.583	Higher is better	-0.0

Contest, Clearance & Ruck

North Melbourne Kangaroos score 50.2 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 4.5

Expand metrics

Metric	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Fremantle Dockers	Direction	Edge note
Avg Contested Possessions	127	134.167	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Contested Possession Rate	34.747	36.992	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Ground Ball Gets	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Clearances	37.917	35.917	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Centre Clearances	14.167	12.833	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Stoppage Clearances	23.75	23.083	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Hitouts To Advantage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Hitout To Advantage Rate	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Hitout Win Percentage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Contested Marks	9.833	10.167	Higher is better	-0.0