AFL market detail

H2H market

Ripoff

Collingwood MagpiesvsPort Adelaide Power

Collingwood Magpies at PointsBet (AU).

Odds 1.44Fair Odds N/AMargin 5.8% · GoodSat, 20 June, 9:35 amOdds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

45.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

65.6%

At PointsBet (AU)

Footylab predicted edgeFootylab predicted edgeHow much Footylab thinks the H2H side may be mispriced, in percentage points.

-20.6pp

Probability band · Soft favourite 55-70%

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.45

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Summary

Collingwood Magpies projects at 45.1% from AFL weighted stats after availability adjustment.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

Unibet

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Collingwood Magpies

Best price

1.47

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

45.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

63.9%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-18.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.5% · Average

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.45

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Neds

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Collingwood Magpies

1.46

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

45.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

64.9%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-19.9

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.5% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.45

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Ladbrokes

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Collingwood Magpies

1.46

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

45.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

64.9%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-19.9

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.5% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.45

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Dabble AU

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Collingwood Magpies

1.45

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

45.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

65.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-20.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.45

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

TAB

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Collingwood Magpies

1.45

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

45.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

65.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-20.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.45

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Bet Right

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Collingwood Magpies

1.45

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

45.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

65.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-20.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.45

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Betr

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Collingwood Magpies

1.45

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

45.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

65.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-20.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.45

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

PointsBet (AU)

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Collingwood Magpies

Selected bookmaker

1.44

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

45.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

65.6%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-20.6

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.45

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

SportsBet

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Collingwood Magpies

1.45

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

45.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

65.6%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-20.6

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.1% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.45

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Team

Mini summary

Collingwood Magpies

Best priceOddsThe quoted decimal price for the selection.

Unibet|1.47

Stats impliedStats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

45.1%

Odds impliedOdds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

63.9%

Avg value scoreOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-20.2 pts

Stats ratingStats RatingA 0-100 rating for the underlying stats profile.

46.3

Availability mult

0.75 (0.89 rel)

Wins last 5Wins last 5Team wins across the most recent five available results.

1/5

Wins last 10Wins last 10Team wins across the most recent ten available results.

3/10

Collingwood Magpies rate behind Port Adelaide Power on the current stats profile.

5/9 stat categories favour Port Adelaide Power.

Last 5 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
8 June	Melbourne Demons	L	75-83
30 May	Western Bulldogs	L	93-97
23 May	West Coast Eagles	W	92-82
15 May	Sydney Swans	L	75-81
9 May	Geelong Cats	L	68-122

Season Strength

Collingwood Magpies score 10.9 | weight 0.12 | weighted contribution 1.3

Expand metrics

Metric	Collingwood Magpies	Port Adelaide Power	Direction	Edge note
Season Win Rate	0.423	0.308	Higher is better	+0.2
Season Avg Margin	-0.692	0.846	Higher is better	-1.0
Season Avg Score For	82.231	82.538	Higher is better	-0.0
Season Avg Score Against	82.923	81.692	Lower is better	-0.0
Season Avg Scoring Shot Diff	-0.692	1.231	Higher is better	-1.0
Season Avg Inside 50 Diff	-3.769	0.462	Higher is better	-1.0
Season Avg Clearance Diff	-3.692	2.615	Higher is better	-1.0
Season Avg Contested Possession Diff	-8.308	-3.846	Higher is better	-0.4

Opponent Weakness

Collingwood Magpies score 70.1 | weight 0.07 | weighted contribution 4.9

Expand metrics

Metric	Collingwood Magpies	Port Adelaide Power	Direction	Edge note
Opponent Loss Rate	0.583	0.667	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Avg Margin Against	1.75	-4.75	Higher is better	+1.0
Opponent Avg Score Against	84.333	79.083	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent Avg Goals Against	12.083	11.417	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent Avg Scoring Shots Against	23.917	22	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent Avg Inside 50S Against	55.333	49.5	Higher is better	+0.1
Opponent Avg Marks Inside 50 Against	12.833	10.917	Higher is better	+0.1
Opponent Avg Clearance Diff Allowed	3.833	-3.75	Higher is better	+1.0
Opponent Avg Contested Possession Diff Allowed	7.75	2.5	Higher is better	+0.5
Opponent Avg Turnovers	66	68.583	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent Avg Clangers	57.333	58	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent Avg Contest Def Loss Percentage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Opponent Avg Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A
Opponent Avg Intercepts	67.5	68.833	Lower is better	+0.0

Home / Venue Edge

Collingwood Magpies score 58.6 | weight 0.14 | weighted contribution 8.2

Expand metrics

Metric	Collingwood Magpies	Port Adelaide Power	Direction	Edge note
Match role	Home	Away	N/A	N/A
Base home advantage applied to Collingwood Magpies	Applied	Not applied	N/A	+0.2
Collingwood Magpies current-season home win rate	0.417	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Collingwood Magpies current-season home point differential	2.5	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Port Adelaide Power current-season away win rate	N/A	0.333	Higher is better	+0.0
Port Adelaide Power current-season away point differential	N/A	-4.5	Higher is better	-0.0
Collingwood Magpies current-season venue win rate at MCG	0.562	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Collingwood Magpies current-season venue point differential at MCG	3.5	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Port Adelaide Power current-season venue win rate at MCG	N/A	1	Higher is better	-0.0
Port Adelaide Power current-season venue point differential at MCG	N/A	42	Higher is better	-0.0
Collingwood Magpies home sample size	6	N/A	N/A	N/A
Port Adelaide Power away sample size	N/A	6	N/A	N/A
Venue sample size	8	1	N/A	N/A

Recent Form

Collingwood Magpies score 45.9 | weight 0.24 | weighted contribution 11.0

Expand metrics

Metric	Collingwood Magpies	Port Adelaide Power	Direction	Edge note
Recent performance scoreRecent performanceA recency-weighted result score across the latest five team games.	20	26.667	Higher is better	-0.1
Recent Win Rate	0.2	0.2	Higher is better	0.0
Recent Avg Margin	-12.4	-11.6	Higher is better	-0.0
Recent Avg Score For	80.6	74	Higher is better	+0.0
Recent Avg Score Against	93	85.6	Lower is better	-0.0
Recent Avg Scoring Shots For	24.6	22	Higher is better	+0.1
Recent Avg Scoring Shots Against	26	23.6	Lower is better	-0.0
Recent Inside 50 Diff	-6.6	-6.4	Higher is better	-0.0
Recent Clearance Diff	-1.8	4.6	Higher is better	-1.0
Recent Contested Possession Diff	-2.2	-1.2	Higher is better	-0.3
Recent Turnover Diff	-3.8	3.6	Lower is better	+1.0

Contest, Clearance & Ruck

Collingwood Magpies score 46.1 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 4.1

Expand metrics

Metric	Collingwood Magpies	Port Adelaide Power	Direction	Edge note
Avg Contested Possessions	123.583	124.583	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Contested Possession Rate	33.977	36.383	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Ground Ball Gets	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Clearances	31.5	36.167	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Centre Clearances	10.917	12	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Stoppage Clearances	20.583	24.167	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Hitouts To Advantage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Hitout To Advantage Rate	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Hitout Win Percentage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Contested Marks	8.5	8.75	Higher is better	-0.0

Discipline & Ball Security

Collingwood Magpies score 52.6 | weight 0.03 | weighted contribution 1.6

Expand metrics

Metric	Collingwood Magpies	Port Adelaide Power	Direction	Edge note
Avg Turnovers	66	68.583	Lower is better	+0.0
Avg Clangers	57.333	58	Lower is better	+0.0
Avg Frees Against	16.167	19.417	Lower is better	+0.1
Avg Frees For	18	18.583	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Disposal Efficiency	73.567	71.85	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Effective Disposals	280.675	254.369	Higher is better	+0.0

Attack

Collingwood Magpies score 48.0 | weight 0.13 | weighted contribution 6.2

Expand metrics

Metric	Collingwood Magpies	Port Adelaide Power	Direction	Edge note
Avg Score For	82.583	83.833	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Goals For	11.917	12	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Scoring Shots For	23	23.833	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Shots At Goal	25.167	26.833	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Inside 50S	53.167	50.333	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Marks Inside 50	11.75	14	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Score Involvements	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Score Launches	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Goal Assists	8.667	9.667	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Goal Accuracy	48.475	45.125	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Shot Efficiency	47.733	53.325	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Goal Efficiency	23.333	24.15	Higher is better	-0.0

Defence & Pressure

Collingwood Magpies score 49.0 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 4.4

Expand metrics

Metric	Collingwood Magpies	Port Adelaide Power	Direction	Edge note
Avg Score Against	84.333	79.083	Lower is better	-0.0
Avg Goals Against	12.083	11.417	Lower is better	-0.0
Avg Scoring Shots Against	23.917	22	Lower is better	-0.0
Avg Inside 50S Against	55.333	49.5	Lower is better	-0.1
Avg Marks Inside 50 Against	12.833	10.917	Lower is better	-0.1
Avg Tackles	59.833	57.583	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Tackles Inside 50	12.167	9.917	Higher is better	+0.1
Avg Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Def Half Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Intercepts	67.5	68.833	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Intercept Marks	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Spoils	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg One Percenters	43.25	40.833	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Contest Def Losses	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A
Avg Contest Def Loss Percentage	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A

Territory & Ball Movement

Collingwood Magpies score 50.2 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 4.5

Expand metrics

Metric	Collingwood Magpies	Port Adelaide Power	Direction	Edge note
Avg Metres Gained	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Inside 50S	53.167	50.333	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Effective Disposals	280.675	254.369	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Disposal Efficiency	73.567	71.85	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Effective Kicks	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Kick Efficiency	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Marks	98.75	101.333	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Uncontested Possessions	241.583	219.75	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Bounces	4.833	7.833	Higher is better	-0.2