AFL market detail

H2H market

Value

Collingwood MagpiesvsPort Adelaide Power

Port Adelaide Power at SportsBet.

Odds 2.77Fair Odds N/AMargin 5.1% · GoodSat, 20 June, 9:35 amOdds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

34.4%

At SportsBet

Footylab predicted edgeFootylab predicted edgeHow much Footylab thinks the H2H side may be mispriced, in percentage points.

+20.6pp

Probability band · Heavy favourite 85-100%

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.1% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.72

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Summary

Port Adelaide Power projects at 54.9% from AFL weighted stats after availability adjustment.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

SportsBet

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Port Adelaide Power

Selected bookmakerBest price

2.77

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

34.4%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+20.6

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.1% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.72

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

PointsBet (AU)

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Port Adelaide Power

2.75

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

34.4%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+20.6

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.72

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Dabble AU

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Port Adelaide Power

2.75

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

34.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+20.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.72

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

TAB

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Port Adelaide Power

2.75

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

34.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+20.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.72

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Bet Right

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Port Adelaide Power

2.75

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

34.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+20.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.72

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Betr

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Port Adelaide Power

2.75

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

34.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+20.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.72

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Neds

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Port Adelaide Power

2.70

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

35.1%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+19.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.5% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.72

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Ladbrokes

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Port Adelaide Power

2.70

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

35.1%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+19.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.5% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.72

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Unibet

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Port Adelaide Power

2.60

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

36.1%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+18.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.5% · Average

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.72

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

N/A

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Team

Mini summary

Port Adelaide Power

Best priceOddsThe quoted decimal price for the selection.

SportsBet|2.77

Stats impliedStats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.9%

Odds impliedOdds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

34.4%

Avg value scoreOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+20.2 pts

Stats ratingStats RatingA 0-100 rating for the underlying stats profile.

53.7

Availability mult

0.93 (1.11 rel)

Wins last 5Wins last 5Team wins across the most recent five available results.

1/5

Wins last 10Wins last 10Team wins across the most recent ten available results.

3/10

Port Adelaide Power are favoured by the current stats profile.

5/9 stat categories favour Port Adelaide Power.

Last 5 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
13 June	Sydney Swans	L	90-93
6 June	West Coast Eagles	W	77-71
23 May	Carlton Blues	L	58-92
15 May	Gold Coast Suns	L	73-98
8 May	Western Bulldogs	L	72-74

Season Strength

Port Adelaide Power score 89.1 | weight 0.12 | weighted contribution 10.7

Expand metrics

Metric	Port Adelaide Power	Collingwood Magpies	Direction	Edge note
Season Win Rate	0.308	0.423	Higher is better	-0.2
Season Avg Margin	0.846	-0.692	Higher is better	+1.0
Season Avg Score For	82.538	82.231	Higher is better	+0.0
Season Avg Score Against	81.692	82.923	Lower is better	+0.0
Season Avg Scoring Shot Diff	1.231	-0.692	Higher is better	+1.0
Season Avg Inside 50 Diff	0.462	-3.769	Higher is better	+1.0
Season Avg Clearance Diff	2.615	-3.692	Higher is better	+1.0
Season Avg Contested Possession Diff	-3.846	-8.308	Higher is better	+0.4

Opponent Weakness

Port Adelaide Power score 29.9 | weight 0.07 | weighted contribution 2.1

Expand metrics

Metric	Port Adelaide Power	Collingwood Magpies	Direction	Edge note
Opponent Loss Rate	0.667	0.583	Higher is better	+0.1
Opponent Avg Margin Against	-4.75	1.75	Higher is better	-1.0
Opponent Avg Score Against	79.083	84.333	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent Avg Goals Against	11.417	12.083	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent Avg Scoring Shots Against	22	23.917	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent Avg Inside 50S Against	49.5	55.333	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Avg Marks Inside 50 Against	10.917	12.833	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Avg Clearance Diff Allowed	-3.75	3.833	Higher is better	-1.0
Opponent Avg Contested Possession Diff Allowed	2.5	7.75	Higher is better	-0.5
Opponent Avg Turnovers	68.583	66	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent Avg Clangers	58	57.333	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent Avg Contest Def Loss Percentage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Opponent Avg Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A
Opponent Avg Intercepts	68.833	67.5	Lower is better	-0.0

Home / Venue Edge

Port Adelaide Power score 41.4 | weight 0.14 | weighted contribution 5.8

Expand metrics

Metric	Port Adelaide Power	Collingwood Magpies	Direction	Edge note
Match role	Away	Home	N/A	N/A
Base home advantage applied to Collingwood Magpies	Not applied	Applied	N/A	-0.2
Collingwood Magpies current-season home win rate	N/A	0.417	Higher is better	+0.0
Collingwood Magpies current-season home point differential	N/A	2.5	Higher is better	+0.0
Port Adelaide Power current-season away win rate	0.333	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Port Adelaide Power current-season away point differential	-4.5	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Collingwood Magpies current-season venue win rate at MCG	N/A	0.562	Higher is better	-0.0
Collingwood Magpies current-season venue point differential at MCG	N/A	3.5	Higher is better	-0.0
Port Adelaide Power current-season venue win rate at MCG	1	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Port Adelaide Power current-season venue point differential at MCG	42	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Collingwood Magpies home sample size	N/A	6	N/A	N/A
Port Adelaide Power away sample size	6	N/A	N/A	N/A
Venue sample size	1	8	N/A	N/A

Recent Form

Port Adelaide Power score 54.1 | weight 0.24 | weighted contribution 13.0

Expand metrics

Metric	Port Adelaide Power	Collingwood Magpies	Direction	Edge note
Recent performance scoreRecent performanceA recency-weighted result score across the latest five team games.	26.667	20	Higher is better	+0.1
Recent Win Rate	0.2	0.2	Higher is better	0.0
Recent Avg Margin	-11.6	-12.4	Higher is better	+0.0
Recent Avg Score For	74	80.6	Higher is better	-0.0
Recent Avg Score Against	85.6	93	Lower is better	+0.0
Recent Avg Scoring Shots For	22	24.6	Higher is better	-0.1
Recent Avg Scoring Shots Against	23.6	26	Lower is better	+0.0
Recent Inside 50 Diff	-6.4	-6.6	Higher is better	+0.0
Recent Clearance Diff	4.6	-1.8	Higher is better	+1.0
Recent Contested Possession Diff	-1.2	-2.2	Higher is better	+0.3
Recent Turnover Diff	3.6	-3.8	Lower is better	-1.0

Contest, Clearance & Ruck

Port Adelaide Power score 53.9 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 4.9

Expand metrics

Metric	Port Adelaide Power	Collingwood Magpies	Direction	Edge note
Avg Contested Possessions	124.583	123.583	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Contested Possession Rate	36.383	33.977	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Ground Ball Gets	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Clearances	36.167	31.5	Higher is better	+0.1
Avg Centre Clearances	12	10.917	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Stoppage Clearances	24.167	20.583	Higher is better	+0.1
Avg Hitouts To Advantage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Hitout To Advantage Rate	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Hitout Win Percentage	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Contested Marks	8.75	8.5	Higher is better	+0.0

Discipline & Ball Security

Port Adelaide Power score 47.4 | weight 0.03 | weighted contribution 1.4

Expand metrics

Metric	Port Adelaide Power	Collingwood Magpies	Direction	Edge note
Avg Turnovers	68.583	66	Lower is better	-0.0
Avg Clangers	58	57.333	Lower is better	-0.0
Avg Frees Against	19.417	16.167	Lower is better	-0.1
Avg Frees For	18.583	18	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Disposal Efficiency	71.85	73.567	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Effective Disposals	254.369	280.675	Higher is better	-0.0

Attack

Port Adelaide Power score 52.0 | weight 0.13 | weighted contribution 6.8

Expand metrics

Metric	Port Adelaide Power	Collingwood Magpies	Direction	Edge note
Avg Score For	83.833	82.583	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Goals For	12	11.917	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Scoring Shots For	23.833	23	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Shots At Goal	26.833	25.167	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Inside 50S	50.333	53.167	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Marks Inside 50	14	11.75	Higher is better	+0.1
Avg Score Involvements	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Score Launches	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Goal Assists	9.667	8.667	Higher is better	+0.1
Avg Goal Accuracy	45.125	48.475	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Shot Efficiency	53.325	47.733	Higher is better	+0.1
Avg Goal Efficiency	24.15	23.333	Higher is better	+0.0

Defence & Pressure

Port Adelaide Power score 51.0 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 4.6

Expand metrics

Metric	Port Adelaide Power	Collingwood Magpies	Direction	Edge note
Avg Score Against	79.083	84.333	Lower is better	+0.0
Avg Goals Against	11.417	12.083	Lower is better	+0.0
Avg Scoring Shots Against	22	23.917	Lower is better	+0.0
Avg Inside 50S Against	49.5	55.333	Lower is better	+0.1
Avg Marks Inside 50 Against	10.917	12.833	Lower is better	+0.1
Avg Tackles	57.583	59.833	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Tackles Inside 50	9.917	12.167	Higher is better	-0.1
Avg Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Def Half Pressure Acts	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Intercepts	68.833	67.5	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Intercept Marks	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Spoils	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg One Percenters	40.833	43.25	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Contest Def Losses	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A
Avg Contest Def Loss Percentage	N/A	N/A	Lower is better	N/A

Territory & Ball Movement

Port Adelaide Power score 49.8 | weight 0.09 | weighted contribution 4.5

Expand metrics

Metric	Port Adelaide Power	Collingwood Magpies	Direction	Edge note
Avg Metres Gained	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Inside 50S	50.333	53.167	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Effective Disposals	254.369	280.675	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Disposal Efficiency	71.85	73.567	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Effective Kicks	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Kick Efficiency	N/A	N/A	Higher is better	N/A
Avg Marks	101.333	98.75	Higher is better	+0.0
Avg Uncontested Possessions	219.75	241.583	Higher is better	-0.0
Avg Bounces	7.833	4.833	Higher is better	+0.2