Market detail

H2H market

Value

Canberra RaidersvsSydney Roosters

Canberra Raiders at TAB.

Odds 2.25Fair Odds 2.23Margin 5.1% · GoodFri, 5 June, 10:00 amOdds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

49.5%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

42.3%

At TAB

Footylab predicted edgeFootylab predicted edgeHow much Footylab thinks the H2H side may be mispriced, in percentage points.

+7.2pp

Probability band · Heavy favourite 85-100%

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.1% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.21

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+0.4%

Summary

Canberra Raiders grades as small value: the stats expectation is stronger than the bookmaker expectation versus Sydney Roosters, and this bookmaker is pricing above the current market average.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

TAB

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Canberra Raiders

Selected bookmakerBest price

2.25

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

49.5%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

42.3%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+7.2

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.1% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.21

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+0.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

Unibet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Canberra Raiders

2.23

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

49.5%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

42.4%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+7.2

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.21

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-0.7%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

Betr

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Canberra Raiders

2.20

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

49.5%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

43.2%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+6.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.21

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-2.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

Ladbrokes

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Canberra Raiders

2.20

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

49.5%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

43.2%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+6.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.21

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-2.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

Neds

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Canberra Raiders

2.20

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

49.5%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

43.2%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+6.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.21

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-2.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

PointsBet (AU)

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Canberra Raiders

2.20

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

49.5%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

42.9%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+6.7

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.1% · Average

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.21

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-2.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

SportsBet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Canberra Raiders

2.20

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

49.5%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

43.2%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+6.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.21

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-2.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Team

Mini summary

Canberra Raiders

Best priceOddsThe quoted decimal price for the selection.

TAB|2.25

Stats impliedStats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

49.5%

Odds impliedOdds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

42.3%

Avg value scoreOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+6.7 pts

Stats ratingStats RatingA 0-100 rating for the underlying stats profile.

42.7

Availability mult

0.70 (0.98 rel)

Wins last 5Wins last 5Team wins across the most recent five available results.

2/5

Wins last 10Wins last 10Team wins across the most recent ten available results.

4/10

Canberra Raiders rate behind Sydney Roosters on the current stats profile.

5/7 stat categories favour Sydney Roosters.

Last 5 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 May	North Queensland Cowboys	W	26-12
21 May	Dolphins	L	22-30
10 May	Penrith Panthers	L	18-30
2 May	Gold Coast Titans	W	28-12
23 Apr	Wests Tigers	L	14-33

Opponent Weakness

Canberra Raiders score 29.9 | weight 0.1 | weighted contribution 3.0

Expand metrics

Metric	Canberra Raiders	Sydney Roosters	Direction	Edge note
Opponent Season Loss Rate	0.364	0.583	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent Season Win Rate	0.636	0.417	Lower is better	-0.2
Opponent Season Point Differential	4.273	-6	Lower is better	-1.0
Opponent Loss Rate	0.4	0.667	Higher is better	-0.3
Opponent Win Rate	0.6	0.333	Lower is better	-0.3
Opponent Avg Point Differential	5.133	-8.733	Lower is better	-1.0
Opponent Avg Points For	26.2	20.867	Lower is better	-0.1
Opponent average points conceded	21.067	29.6	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent Heavy Loss Rate	0.267	0.333	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Avg Losing Margin	18.333	16.8	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent average tries conceded	3.667	5.067	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent average line breaks conceded	3.933	6	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent average missed tackles	25.533	36.867	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent average tackle efficiency	89.425	87.292	Lower is better	-0.0
Opponent average completion rate	74.4	76.867	Lower is better	+0.0
Opponent average penalties conceded	5.2	5.4	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent average errors	13.733	10.933	Higher is better	+0.1

Defence

Canberra Raiders score 32.8 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 4.1

Expand metrics

Metric	Canberra Raiders	Sydney Roosters	Direction	Edge note
Season Loss Rate	0.583	0.364	Lower is better	-0.2
Season Heavy Loss Rate	0.25	0.273	Lower is better	+0.0
Season Avg Point Differential	-6	4.273	Higher is better	-1.0
Season Avg Points Against	26.75	22.727	Lower is better	-0.1
Average points conceded	29.6	21.067	Lower is better	-0.2
Average tries conceded	5.067	3.667	Lower is better	-0.2
Avg Losing Margin	16.8	18.333	Lower is better	+0.0
Heavy Loss Rate	0.333	0.267	Lower is better	-0.1
Average line breaks conceded	6	3.933	Lower is better	-0.2
Average missed tackles	36.867	25.533	Lower is better	-0.2
Average tackle efficiency	87.292	89.425	Higher is better	-0.0

Season Strength

Canberra Raiders score 41.0 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 6.2

Expand metrics

Metric	Canberra Raiders	Sydney Roosters	Direction	Edge note
Win rate	0.417	0.636	Higher is better	-0.3
Average point differential	-6	4.273	Higher is better	-0.3
Average points scored	20.75	27	Higher is better	-0.2
Average points conceded	26.75	22.727	Lower is better	-0.1
Average tries scored	3.667	4.818	Higher is better	-0.2
Average tries conceded	4.583	3.909	Lower is better	-0.1

Attack

Canberra Raiders score 41.6 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 5.2

Expand metrics

Metric	Canberra Raiders	Sydney Roosters	Direction	Edge note
Average points scored	20.867	26.2	Higher is better	-0.1
Average tries scored	3.667	4.667	Higher is better	-0.1
Average line breaks	4.733	5.067	Higher is better	-0.0

Recent Form

Canberra Raiders score 44.5 | weight 0.3 | weighted contribution 13.4

Expand metrics

Metric	Canberra Raiders	Sydney Roosters	Direction	Edge note
Recent performance scoreRecent performanceA recency-weighted result score across the latest five team games.	46.667	40	Higher is better	+0.1
Win rate	0.4	0.6	Higher is better	-0.3
Average point differential	-1.8	11.2	Higher is better	-0.4
Average points scored	21.6	28.8	Higher is better	-0.3
Average points conceded	23.4	17.6	Lower is better	-0.2
Average tries scored	4	5.2	Higher is better	-0.2
Average tries conceded	4	3	Lower is better	-0.2

Home / Venue Edge

Canberra Raiders score 55.0 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 8.3

Expand metrics

Metric	Canberra Raiders	Sydney Roosters	Direction	Edge note
Match role	Home	Away	N/A	N/A
Base home advantage applied to Canberra Raiders	Applied	Not applied	N/A	+0.2
Canberra Raiders current-season home win rate	0.333	N/A	Higher is better	-0.1
Canberra Raiders current-season home point differential	-3	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Sydney Roosters current-season away win rate	N/A	0.6	Higher is better	-0.0
Sydney Roosters current-season away point differential	N/A	7.4	Higher is better	-0.1
Canberra Raiders current-season venue win rate at GIO Stadium	0.333	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Canberra Raiders current-season venue point differential at GIO Stadium	-3	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Sydney Roosters current-season venue win rate at GIO Stadium	N/A	0.5	Higher is better	0.0
Sydney Roosters current-season venue point differential at GIO Stadium	N/A	0	Higher is better	0.0
Canberra Raiders home sample size	6	N/A	N/A	N/A
Sydney Roosters away sample size	N/A	5	N/A	N/A
Venue sample size	6	0	N/A	N/A

Discipline

Canberra Raiders score 53.5 | weight 0.05 | weighted contribution 2.7

Expand metrics

Metric	Canberra Raiders	Sydney Roosters	Direction	Edge note
Average completion rate	76.867	74.4	Higher is better	+0.0
Average penalties conceded	5.4	5.2	Lower is better	-0.0
Average errors	10.933	13.733	Lower is better	+0.1