Market detail

H2H market

Ripoff

Brisbane BroncosvsGold Coast Titans

Brisbane Broncos at PointsBet (AU).

Odds 1.33Fair Odds 1.34Margin 6.0% · GoodSat, 6 June, 9:35 amOdds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

71.0%

At PointsBet (AU)

Footylab predicted edgeFootylab predicted edgeHow much Footylab thinks the H2H side may be mispriced, in percentage points.

-16.8pp

Probability band · Normal favourite 60-75%

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.0% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.35

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-0.4%

Summary

Brisbane Broncos grades as strong ripoff: the bookmaker expectation is stronger than the stats expectation versus Gold Coast Titans, and this bookmaker is pricing above the current market average.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

Betr

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Brisbane Broncos

Best price

1.36

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

69.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-15.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.35

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+2.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Ladbrokes

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Brisbane Broncos

1.36

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

69.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-15.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.35

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+2.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Neds

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Brisbane Broncos

1.36

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

69.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-15.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.35

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+2.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

SportsBet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Brisbane Broncos

1.36

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

70.0%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-15.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.1% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.35

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+2.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

TAB

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Brisbane Broncos

1.35

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

70.3%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-16.2

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.35

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+1.5%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Unibet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Brisbane Broncos

1.35

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

70.0%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-15.9

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.35

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+1.5%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

PointsBet (AU)

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Brisbane Broncos

Selected bookmaker

1.33

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.1%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

71.0%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-16.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.0% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.35

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-0.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Team

Mini summary

Brisbane Broncos

Best priceOddsThe quoted decimal price for the selection.

Betr|1.36

Stats impliedStats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

54.1%

Odds impliedOdds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

69.5%

Avg value scoreOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-15.8 pts

Stats ratingStats RatingA 0-100 rating for the underlying stats profile.

43.8

Availability mult

0.55 (0.80 rel)

Wins last 5Wins last 5Team wins across the most recent five available results.

1/5

Wins last 10Wins last 10Team wins across the most recent ten available results.

5/10

Brisbane Broncos are favoured by the current stats profile.

6/7 stat categories favour Brisbane Broncos.

Last 5 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 May	St George Illawarra Dragons	L	26-30
17 May	New Zealand Warriors	L	12-42
9 May	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	L	4-32
2 May	Sydney Roosters	L	24-38
24 Apr	Canterbury Bulldogs	W	32-12

Opponent Weakness

Brisbane Broncos score 63.1 | weight 0.1 | weighted contribution 6.3

Expand metrics

Metric	Brisbane Broncos	Gold Coast Titans	Direction	Edge note
Opponent Season Loss Rate	0.818	0.583	Higher is better	+0.2
Opponent Season Win Rate	0.182	0.417	Lower is better	+0.4
Opponent Season Point Differential	-8	-5.083	Lower is better	+0.2
Opponent Loss Rate	0.8	0.467	Higher is better	+0.3
Opponent Win Rate	0.2	0.533	Lower is better	+0.5
Opponent Avg Point Differential	-8.8	-3.6	Lower is better	+0.4
Opponent Avg Points For	19.867	21.533	Lower is better	+0.0
Opponent average points conceded	28.667	25.133	Higher is better	+0.1
Opponent Heavy Loss Rate	0.533	0.267	Higher is better	+0.3
Opponent Avg Losing Margin	15.833	16.286	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent average tries conceded	5.133	4.133	Higher is better	+0.1
Opponent average line breaks conceded	4.733	4.467	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent average missed tackles	32.933	34.333	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent average tackle efficiency	87.967	87.573	Lower is better	-0.0
Opponent average completion rate	73.333	77.2	Lower is better	+0.0
Opponent average penalties conceded	4.467	6.267	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent average errors	13.2	11.267	Higher is better	+0.1

Home / Venue Edge

Brisbane Broncos score 61.5 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 9.2

Expand metrics

Metric	Brisbane Broncos	Gold Coast Titans	Direction	Edge note
Match role	Home	Away	N/A	N/A
Base home advantage applied to Brisbane Broncos	Applied	Not applied	N/A	+0.2
Brisbane Broncos current-season home win rate	0.4	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Brisbane Broncos current-season home point differential	3.6	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Gold Coast Titans current-season away win rate	N/A	0.143	Higher is better	+0.1
Gold Coast Titans current-season away point differential	N/A	-6	Higher is better	-0.0
Brisbane Broncos current-season venue win rate at Suncorp Stadium	0.333	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Brisbane Broncos current-season venue point differential at Suncorp Stadium	-2	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Gold Coast Titans current-season venue win rate at Suncorp Stadium	N/A	0	Higher is better	+0.0
Gold Coast Titans current-season venue point differential at Suncorp Stadium	N/A	-14	Higher is better	+0.0
Brisbane Broncos home sample size	5	N/A	N/A	N/A
Gold Coast Titans away sample size	N/A	7	N/A	N/A
Venue sample size	6	2	N/A	N/A

Defence

Brisbane Broncos score 59.6 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 7.4

Expand metrics

Metric	Brisbane Broncos	Gold Coast Titans	Direction	Edge note
Season Loss Rate	0.583	0.818	Lower is better	+0.2
Season Heavy Loss Rate	0.333	0.545	Lower is better	+0.2
Season Avg Point Differential	-5.083	-8	Higher is better	+0.2
Season Avg Points Against	26.083	25.455	Lower is better	-0.0
Average points conceded	25.133	28.667	Lower is better	+0.1
Average tries conceded	4.133	5.133	Lower is better	+0.1
Avg Losing Margin	16.286	15.833	Lower is better	-0.0
Heavy Loss Rate	0.267	0.533	Lower is better	+0.3
Average line breaks conceded	4.467	4.733	Lower is better	+0.0
Average missed tackles	34.333	32.933	Lower is better	-0.0
Average tackle efficiency	87.573	87.967	Higher is better	-0.0

Season Strength

Brisbane Broncos score 41.8 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 6.3

Expand metrics

Metric	Brisbane Broncos	Gold Coast Titans	Direction	Edge note
Win rate	0.417	0.182	Higher is better	+0.3
Average point differential	-5.083	-8	Higher is better	+0.1
Average points scored	21	17.455	Higher is better	+0.1
Average points conceded	26.083	25.455	Lower is better	-0.0
Average tries scored	3.583	3	Higher is better	+0.1
Average tries conceded	4.25	4.636	Lower is better	+0.1

Recent Form

Brisbane Broncos score 19.0 | weight 0.3 | weighted contribution 5.7

Expand metrics

Metric	Brisbane Broncos	Gold Coast Titans	Direction	Edge note
Recent performance scoreRecent performanceA recency-weighted result score across the latest five team games.	6.667	0	Higher is better	+0.1
Win rate	0.2	0	Higher is better	+0.3
Average point differential	-11.2	-13.2	Higher is better	+0.1
Average points scored	19.6	13.2	Higher is better	+0.2
Average points conceded	30.8	26.4	Lower is better	-0.2
Average tries scored	3.4	2.4	Higher is better	+0.2
Average tries conceded	5	5	Lower is better	0.0

Discipline

Brisbane Broncos score 48.0 | weight 0.05 | weighted contribution 2.4

Expand metrics

Metric	Brisbane Broncos	Gold Coast Titans	Direction	Edge note
Average completion rate	77.2	73.333	Higher is better	+0.0
Average penalties conceded	6.267	4.467	Lower is better	-0.2
Average errors	11.267	13.2	Lower is better	+0.1

Attack

Brisbane Broncos score 51.3 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 6.4

Expand metrics

Metric	Brisbane Broncos	Gold Coast Titans	Direction	Edge note
Average points scored	21.533	19.867	Higher is better	+0.0
Average tries scored	3.733	3.4	Higher is better	+0.0
Average line breaks	4.2	4.6	Higher is better	-0.0