Market detail
H2H market
No strong signalBrisbane BroncosvsGold Coast Titans
Gold Coast Titans at PointsBet (AU).
Stats implied win %
45.9%
Odds implied win %
29.0%
At PointsBet (AU)
Footylab predicted edge
+16.8pp
Probability band · Heavy favourite 85-100%
Margin
6.0% · Good
Market average odds
3.15
Relative edge to market
+0.1%
Summary
Gold Coast Titans grades as strong value: the stats expectation is stronger than the bookmaker expectation versus Brisbane Broncos, and this bookmaker is pricing above the current market average.
Bookmaker comparison
Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.
PointsBet (AU)
Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC
Gold Coast Titans
3.25
Stats implied win %
45.9%
Odds implied win %
29.0%
Overall value
+16.8
Margin
6.0% · Good
Market average odds
3.15
Relative edge to market
+0.1%
TAB
Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC
Gold Coast Titans
3.20
Stats implied win %
45.9%
Odds implied win %
29.7%
Overall value
+16.2
Margin
5.3% · Good
Market average odds
3.15
Relative edge to market
-1.5%
SportsBet
Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC
Gold Coast Titans
3.17
Stats implied win %
45.9%
Odds implied win %
30.0%
Overall value
+15.8
Margin
5.1% · Good
Market average odds
3.15
Relative edge to market
-2.5%
Unibet
Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC
Gold Coast Titans
3.15
Stats implied win %
45.9%
Odds implied win %
30.0%
Overall value
+15.8
Margin
5.8% · Good
Market average odds
3.15
Relative edge to market
-3.1%
Betr
Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC
Gold Coast Titans
3.10
Stats implied win %
45.9%
Odds implied win %
30.5%
Overall value
+15.4
Margin
5.8% · Good
Market average odds
3.15
Relative edge to market
-4.7%
Ladbrokes
Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC
Gold Coast Titans
3.10
Stats implied win %
45.9%
Odds implied win %
30.5%
Overall value
+15.4
Margin
5.8% · Good
Market average odds
3.15
Relative edge to market
-4.7%
Neds
Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC
Gold Coast Titans
3.10
Stats implied win %
45.9%
Odds implied win %
30.5%
Overall value
+15.4
Margin
5.8% · Good
Market average odds
3.15
Relative edge to market
-4.7%
Stats Breakdown
The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions
H2H stats breakdown
Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.
Mini summary
Gold Coast Titans
Best price
PointsBet (AU)|3.25
Stats implied
45.9%
Odds implied
29.0%
Avg value score
+15.8 pts
Stats rating
29.7
Availability mult
0.83 (1.20 rel)
Wins last 5
0/5
Wins last 10
2/10
Gold Coast Titans rate behind Brisbane Broncos on the current stats profile.
6/7 stat categories favour Brisbane Broncos.
Last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | L | 10-12 |
| 17 May | Newcastle Knights | L | 12-36 |
| 8 May | Sydney Roosters | L | 12-28 |
| 2 May | Canberra Raiders | L | 12-28 |
| 18 Apr | New Zealand Warriors | L | 20-28 |
Opponent Weakness
Gold Coast Titans score 36.9 | weight 0.1 | weighted contribution 3.7
Expand metrics
Opponent Weakness
Gold Coast Titans score 36.9 | weight 0.1 | weighted contribution 3.7
| Metric | Gold Coast Titans | Brisbane Broncos | Direction | Edge note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent Season Loss Rate | 0.583 | 0.818 | Higher is better | -0.2 |
| Opponent Season Win Rate | 0.417 | 0.182 | Lower is better | -0.4 |
| Opponent Season Point Differential | -5.083 | -8 | Lower is better | -0.2 |
| Opponent Loss Rate | 0.467 | 0.8 | Higher is better | -0.3 |
| Opponent Win Rate | 0.533 | 0.2 | Lower is better | -0.5 |
| Opponent Avg Point Differential | -3.6 | -8.8 | Lower is better | -0.4 |
| Opponent Avg Points For | 21.533 | 19.867 | Lower is better | -0.0 |
| Opponent average points conceded | 25.133 | 28.667 | Higher is better | -0.1 |
| Opponent Heavy Loss Rate | 0.267 | 0.533 | Higher is better | -0.3 |
| Opponent Avg Losing Margin | 16.286 | 15.833 | Higher is better | +0.0 |
| Opponent average tries conceded | 4.133 | 5.133 | Higher is better | -0.1 |
| Opponent average line breaks conceded | 4.467 | 4.733 | Higher is better | -0.0 |
| Opponent average missed tackles | 34.333 | 32.933 | Higher is better | +0.0 |
| Opponent average tackle efficiency | 87.573 | 87.967 | Lower is better | +0.0 |
| Opponent average completion rate | 77.2 | 73.333 | Lower is better | -0.0 |
| Opponent average penalties conceded | 6.267 | 4.467 | Higher is better | +0.2 |
| Opponent average errors | 11.267 | 13.2 | Higher is better | -0.1 |
Home / Venue Edge
Gold Coast Titans score 38.5 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 5.8
Expand metrics
Home / Venue Edge
Gold Coast Titans score 38.5 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 5.8
| Metric | Gold Coast Titans | Brisbane Broncos | Direction | Edge note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match role | Away | Home | N/A | N/A |
| Base home advantage applied to Brisbane Broncos | Not applied | Applied | N/A | -0.2 |
| Brisbane Broncos current-season home win rate | N/A | 0.4 | Higher is better | +0.0 |
| Brisbane Broncos current-season home point differential | N/A | 3.6 | Higher is better | +0.0 |
| Gold Coast Titans current-season away win rate | 0.143 | N/A | Higher is better | -0.1 |
| Gold Coast Titans current-season away point differential | -6 | N/A | Higher is better | +0.0 |
| Brisbane Broncos current-season venue win rate at Suncorp Stadium | N/A | 0.333 | Higher is better | +0.0 |
| Brisbane Broncos current-season venue point differential at Suncorp Stadium | N/A | -2 | Higher is better | +0.0 |
| Gold Coast Titans current-season venue win rate at Suncorp Stadium | 0 | N/A | Higher is better | -0.0 |
| Gold Coast Titans current-season venue point differential at Suncorp Stadium | -14 | N/A | Higher is better | -0.0 |
| Brisbane Broncos home sample size | N/A | 5 | N/A | N/A |
| Gold Coast Titans away sample size | 7 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Venue sample size | 2 | 6 | N/A | N/A |
Defence
Gold Coast Titans score 40.4 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 5.1
Expand metrics
Defence
Gold Coast Titans score 40.4 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 5.1
| Metric | Gold Coast Titans | Brisbane Broncos | Direction | Edge note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Loss Rate | 0.818 | 0.583 | Lower is better | -0.2 |
| Season Heavy Loss Rate | 0.545 | 0.333 | Lower is better | -0.2 |
| Season Avg Point Differential | -8 | -5.083 | Higher is better | -0.2 |
| Season Avg Points Against | 25.455 | 26.083 | Lower is better | +0.0 |
| Average points conceded | 28.667 | 25.133 | Lower is better | -0.1 |
| Average tries conceded | 5.133 | 4.133 | Lower is better | -0.1 |
| Avg Losing Margin | 15.833 | 16.286 | Lower is better | +0.0 |
| Heavy Loss Rate | 0.533 | 0.267 | Lower is better | -0.3 |
| Average line breaks conceded | 4.733 | 4.467 | Lower is better | -0.0 |
| Average missed tackles | 32.933 | 34.333 | Lower is better | +0.0 |
| Average tackle efficiency | 87.967 | 87.573 | Higher is better | +0.0 |
Season Strength
Gold Coast Titans score 27.3 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 4.1
Expand metrics
Season Strength
Gold Coast Titans score 27.3 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 4.1
| Metric | Gold Coast Titans | Brisbane Broncos | Direction | Edge note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 0.182 | 0.417 | Higher is better | -0.3 |
| Average point differential | -8 | -5.083 | Higher is better | -0.1 |
| Average points scored | 17.455 | 21 | Higher is better | -0.1 |
| Average points conceded | 25.455 | 26.083 | Lower is better | +0.0 |
| Average tries scored | 3 | 3.583 | Higher is better | -0.1 |
| Average tries conceded | 4.636 | 4.25 | Lower is better | -0.1 |
Recent Form
Gold Coast Titans score 8.0 | weight 0.3 | weighted contribution 2.4
Expand metrics
Recent Form
Gold Coast Titans score 8.0 | weight 0.3 | weighted contribution 2.4
| Metric | Gold Coast Titans | Brisbane Broncos | Direction | Edge note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recent performance score | 0 | 6.667 | Higher is better | -0.1 |
| Win rate | 0 | 0.2 | Higher is better | -0.3 |
| Average point differential | -13.2 | -11.2 | Higher is better | -0.1 |
| Average points scored | 13.2 | 19.6 | Higher is better | -0.2 |
| Average points conceded | 26.4 | 30.8 | Lower is better | +0.2 |
| Average tries scored | 2.4 | 3.4 | Higher is better | -0.2 |
| Average tries conceded | 5 | 5 | Lower is better | 0.0 |
Discipline
Gold Coast Titans score 52.0 | weight 0.05 | weighted contribution 2.6
Expand metrics
Discipline
Gold Coast Titans score 52.0 | weight 0.05 | weighted contribution 2.6
| Metric | Gold Coast Titans | Brisbane Broncos | Direction | Edge note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average completion rate | 73.333 | 77.2 | Higher is better | -0.0 |
| Average penalties conceded | 4.467 | 6.267 | Lower is better | +0.2 |
| Average errors | 13.2 | 11.267 | Lower is better | -0.1 |
Attack
Gold Coast Titans score 48.7 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 6.1
Expand metrics
Attack
Gold Coast Titans score 48.7 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 6.1
| Metric | Gold Coast Titans | Brisbane Broncos | Direction | Edge note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average points scored | 19.867 | 21.533 | Higher is better | -0.0 |
| Average tries scored | 3.4 | 3.733 | Higher is better | -0.0 |
| Average line breaks | 4.6 | 4.2 | Higher is better | +0.0 |
