H2H market

No strong signal

Brisbane BroncosvsGold Coast Titans

Gold Coast Titans at PointsBet (AU).

Odds 3.25Fair Odds 3.32Margin 6.0% · GoodSat, 6 June, 9:35 amOdds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %

45.9%

Odds implied win %

29.0%

At PointsBet (AU)

Footylab predicted edge

+16.8pp

Probability band · Heavy favourite 85-100%

Margin

6.0% · Good

Market average odds

3.15

Relative edge to market

+0.1%

Summary

Gold Coast Titans grades as strong value: the stats expectation is stronger than the bookmaker expectation versus Brisbane Broncos, and this bookmaker is pricing above the current market average.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

PointsBet (AU)

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Gold Coast Titans

Selected bookmakerBest price

3.25

Stats implied win %

45.9%

Odds implied win %

29.0%

Overall value

+16.8

Margin

6.0% · Good

Market average odds

3.15

Relative edge to market

+0.1%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

TAB

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Gold Coast Titans

3.20

Stats implied win %

45.9%

Odds implied win %

29.7%

Overall value

+16.2

Margin

5.3% · Good

Market average odds

3.15

Relative edge to market

-1.5%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

SportsBet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Gold Coast Titans

3.17

Stats implied win %

45.9%

Odds implied win %

30.0%

Overall value

+15.8

Margin

5.1% · Good

Market average odds

3.15

Relative edge to market

-2.5%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Unibet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Gold Coast Titans

3.15

Stats implied win %

45.9%

Odds implied win %

30.0%

Overall value

+15.8

Margin

5.8% · Good

Market average odds

3.15

Relative edge to market

-3.1%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Betr

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Gold Coast Titans

3.10

Stats implied win %

45.9%

Odds implied win %

30.5%

Overall value

+15.4

Margin

5.8% · Good

Market average odds

3.15

Relative edge to market

-4.7%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Ladbrokes

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Gold Coast Titans

3.10

Stats implied win %

45.9%

Odds implied win %

30.5%

Overall value

+15.4

Margin

5.8% · Good

Market average odds

3.15

Relative edge to market

-4.7%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Neds

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

Gold Coast Titans

3.10

Stats implied win %

45.9%

Odds implied win %

30.5%

Overall value

+15.4

Margin

5.8% · Good

Market average odds

3.15

Relative edge to market

-4.7%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Mini summary

Gold Coast Titans

Best price

PointsBet (AU)|3.25

Stats implied

45.9%

Odds implied

29.0%

Avg value score

+15.8 pts

Stats rating

29.7

Availability mult

0.83 (1.20 rel)

Wins last 5

0/5

Wins last 10

2/10

Gold Coast Titans rate behind Brisbane Broncos on the current stats profile.

6/7 stat categories favour Brisbane Broncos.

Last 5 games

DateOpponentResultScore
23 MayManly Warringah Sea EaglesL10-12
17 MayNewcastle KnightsL12-36
8 MaySydney RoostersL12-28
2 MayCanberra RaidersL12-28
18 AprNew Zealand WarriorsL20-28

Opponent Weakness

Gold Coast Titans score 36.9 | weight 0.1 | weighted contribution 3.7

Expand metrics
MetricGold Coast TitansBrisbane BroncosDirectionEdge note
Opponent Season Loss Rate0.5830.818Higher is better-0.2
Opponent Season Win Rate0.4170.182Lower is better-0.4
Opponent Season Point Differential-5.083-8Lower is better-0.2
Opponent Loss Rate0.4670.8Higher is better-0.3
Opponent Win Rate0.5330.2Lower is better-0.5
Opponent Avg Point Differential-3.6-8.8Lower is better-0.4
Opponent Avg Points For21.53319.867Lower is better-0.0
Opponent average points conceded25.13328.667Higher is better-0.1
Opponent Heavy Loss Rate0.2670.533Higher is better-0.3
Opponent Avg Losing Margin16.28615.833Higher is better+0.0
Opponent average tries conceded4.1335.133Higher is better-0.1
Opponent average line breaks conceded4.4674.733Higher is better-0.0
Opponent average missed tackles34.33332.933Higher is better+0.0
Opponent average tackle efficiency87.57387.967Lower is better+0.0
Opponent average completion rate77.273.333Lower is better-0.0
Opponent average penalties conceded6.2674.467Higher is better+0.2
Opponent average errors11.26713.2Higher is better-0.1

Home / Venue Edge

Gold Coast Titans score 38.5 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 5.8

Expand metrics
MetricGold Coast TitansBrisbane BroncosDirectionEdge note
Match roleAwayHomeN/AN/A
Base home advantage applied to Brisbane BroncosNot appliedAppliedN/A-0.2
Brisbane Broncos current-season home win rateN/A0.4Higher is better+0.0
Brisbane Broncos current-season home point differentialN/A3.6Higher is better+0.0
Gold Coast Titans current-season away win rate0.143N/AHigher is better-0.1
Gold Coast Titans current-season away point differential-6N/AHigher is better+0.0
Brisbane Broncos current-season venue win rate at Suncorp StadiumN/A0.333Higher is better+0.0
Brisbane Broncos current-season venue point differential at Suncorp StadiumN/A-2Higher is better+0.0
Gold Coast Titans current-season venue win rate at Suncorp Stadium0N/AHigher is better-0.0
Gold Coast Titans current-season venue point differential at Suncorp Stadium-14N/AHigher is better-0.0
Brisbane Broncos home sample sizeN/A5N/AN/A
Gold Coast Titans away sample size7N/AN/AN/A
Venue sample size26N/AN/A

Defence

Gold Coast Titans score 40.4 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 5.1

Expand metrics
MetricGold Coast TitansBrisbane BroncosDirectionEdge note
Season Loss Rate0.8180.583Lower is better-0.2
Season Heavy Loss Rate0.5450.333Lower is better-0.2
Season Avg Point Differential-8-5.083Higher is better-0.2
Season Avg Points Against25.45526.083Lower is better+0.0
Average points conceded28.66725.133Lower is better-0.1
Average tries conceded5.1334.133Lower is better-0.1
Avg Losing Margin15.83316.286Lower is better+0.0
Heavy Loss Rate0.5330.267Lower is better-0.3
Average line breaks conceded4.7334.467Lower is better-0.0
Average missed tackles32.93334.333Lower is better+0.0
Average tackle efficiency87.96787.573Higher is better+0.0

Season Strength

Gold Coast Titans score 27.3 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 4.1

Expand metrics
MetricGold Coast TitansBrisbane BroncosDirectionEdge note
Win rate0.1820.417Higher is better-0.3
Average point differential-8-5.083Higher is better-0.1
Average points scored17.45521Higher is better-0.1
Average points conceded25.45526.083Lower is better+0.0
Average tries scored33.583Higher is better-0.1
Average tries conceded4.6364.25Lower is better-0.1

Recent Form

Gold Coast Titans score 8.0 | weight 0.3 | weighted contribution 2.4

Expand metrics
MetricGold Coast TitansBrisbane BroncosDirectionEdge note
Recent performance score06.667Higher is better-0.1
Win rate00.2Higher is better-0.3
Average point differential-13.2-11.2Higher is better-0.1
Average points scored13.219.6Higher is better-0.2
Average points conceded26.430.8Lower is better+0.2
Average tries scored2.43.4Higher is better-0.2
Average tries conceded55Lower is better0.0

Discipline

Gold Coast Titans score 52.0 | weight 0.05 | weighted contribution 2.6

Expand metrics
MetricGold Coast TitansBrisbane BroncosDirectionEdge note
Average completion rate73.33377.2Higher is better-0.0
Average penalties conceded4.4676.267Lower is better+0.2
Average errors13.211.267Lower is better-0.1

Attack

Gold Coast Titans score 48.7 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 6.1

Expand metrics
MetricGold Coast TitansBrisbane BroncosDirectionEdge note
Average points scored19.86721.533Higher is better-0.0
Average tries scored3.43.733Higher is better-0.0
Average line breaks4.64.2Higher is better+0.0