Market detail

H2H market

Value

North Queensland CowboysvsDolphins

North Queensland Cowboys at Betr.

Odds 2.20Fair Odds 2.16Margin 5.3% · GoodSat, 6 June, 7:30 amOdds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

51.8%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

43.2%

At Betr

Footylab predicted edgeFootylab predicted edgeHow much Footylab thinks the H2H side may be mispriced, in percentage points.

+8.7pp

Probability band · Heavy favourite 85-100%

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.15

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+3.4%

Summary

North Queensland Cowboys grades as small value: the stats expectation is stronger than the bookmaker expectation versus Dolphins, and this bookmaker is pricing above the current market average.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

Betr

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

Selected bookmakerBest price

2.20

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

51.8%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

43.2%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+8.7

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.15

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+3.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

SportsBet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

2.16

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

51.8%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

44.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+7.3

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

4.1% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.15

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+1.1%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Ladbrokes

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

2.15

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

51.8%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

44.2%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+7.7

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.15

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+0.5%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Neds

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

2.15

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

51.8%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

44.2%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+7.7

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.15

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+0.5%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

TAB

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

2.15

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

51.8%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

44.2%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+7.7

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.15

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+0.5%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Unibet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

2.15

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

51.8%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

43.9%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+8.0

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.0% · Average

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.15

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+0.5%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

PointsBet (AU)

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:52 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

2.10

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

51.8%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

44.7%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+7.1

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.4% · Average

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

2.15

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-2.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:53 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Team

Mini summary

North Queensland Cowboys

Best priceOddsThe quoted decimal price for the selection.

Betr|2.20

Stats impliedStats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

51.8%

Odds impliedOdds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

43.2%

Avg value scoreOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+7.7 pts

Stats ratingStats RatingA 0-100 rating for the underlying stats profile.

51.6

Availability mult

0.70 (1.00 rel)

Wins last 5Wins last 5Team wins across the most recent five available results.

3/5

Wins last 10Wins last 10Team wins across the most recent ten available results.

7/10

North Queensland Cowboys rate behind Dolphins on the current stats profile.

5/7 stat categories favour Dolphins.

Last 5 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 May	Canberra Raiders	L	12-26
24 May	South Sydney Rabbitohs	W	30-18
16 May	Sydney Roosters	W	18-12
8 May	Parramatta Eels	L	30-33
1 May	Canterbury Bulldogs	W	28-12

Recent Form

North Queensland Cowboys score 56.1 | weight 0.3 | weighted contribution 16.8

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	Dolphins	Direction	Edge note
Recent performance scoreRecent performanceA recency-weighted result score across the latest five team games.	53.333	93.333	Higher is better	-0.4
Win rate	0.6	0.8	Higher is better	-0.3
Average point differential	3.4	15.6	Higher is better	-0.4
Average points scored	23.6	30.4	Higher is better	-0.2
Average points conceded	20.2	14.8	Lower is better	-0.2
Average tries scored	4	5.2	Higher is better	-0.2
Average tries conceded	3.8	2.8	Lower is better	-0.2

Defence

North Queensland Cowboys score 42.0 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 5.2

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	Dolphins	Direction	Edge note
Season Loss Rate	0.385	0.455	Lower is better	+0.1
Season Heavy Loss Rate	0.231	0.182	Lower is better	-0.1
Season Avg Point Differential	1	4.636	Higher is better	-0.6
Season Avg Points Against	24.308	21.727	Lower is better	-0.1
Average points conceded	25.467	25.933	Lower is better	+0.0
Average tries conceded	4.6	4.533	Lower is better	-0.0
Avg Losing Margin	15.833	14.143	Lower is better	-0.1
Heavy Loss Rate	0.2	0.2	Lower is better	0.0
Average line breaks conceded	6	5.133	Lower is better	-0.1
Average missed tackles	36.6	32.467	Lower is better	-0.1
Average tackle efficiency	86.777	87.909	Higher is better	-0.0

Opponent Weakness

North Queensland Cowboys score 42.5 | weight 0.1 | weighted contribution 4.2

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	Dolphins	Direction	Edge note
Opponent Season Loss Rate	0.455	0.385	Higher is better	+0.1
Opponent Season Win Rate	0.545	0.615	Lower is better	+0.1
Opponent Season Point Differential	4.636	1	Lower is better	-0.6
Opponent Loss Rate	0.467	0.4	Higher is better	+0.1
Opponent Win Rate	0.533	0.6	Lower is better	+0.1
Opponent Avg Point Differential	3.8	0.733	Lower is better	-0.7
Opponent Avg Points For	29.733	26.2	Lower is better	-0.1
Opponent average points conceded	25.933	25.467	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent Heavy Loss Rate	0.2	0.2	Higher is better	0.0
Opponent Avg Losing Margin	14.143	15.833	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent average tries conceded	4.533	4.6	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent average line breaks conceded	5.133	6	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent average missed tackles	32.467	36.6	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent average tackle efficiency	87.909	86.777	Lower is better	-0.0
Opponent average completion rate	76.2	76.733	Lower is better	+0.0
Opponent average penalties conceded	4.667	5.133	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent average errors	11.4	11.533	Higher is better	-0.0

Home / Venue Edge

North Queensland Cowboys score 57.4 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 8.6

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	Dolphins	Direction	Edge note
Match role	Home	Away	N/A	N/A
Base home advantage applied to North Queensland Cowboys	Applied	Not applied	N/A	+0.2
North Queensland Cowboys current-season home win rate	0.667	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
North Queensland Cowboys current-season home point differential	1.167	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Dolphins current-season away win rate	N/A	0.6	Higher is better	-0.0
Dolphins current-season away point differential	N/A	8.4	Higher is better	-0.1
North Queensland Cowboys current-season venue win rate at Queensland Country Bank Stadium	0.667	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
North Queensland Cowboys current-season venue point differential at Queensland Country Bank Stadium	1.167	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Dolphins current-season venue win rate at Queensland Country Bank Stadium	N/A	0.5	Higher is better	0.0
Dolphins current-season venue point differential at Queensland Country Bank Stadium	N/A	0	Higher is better	0.0
North Queensland Cowboys home sample size	6	N/A	N/A	N/A
Dolphins away sample size	N/A	5	N/A	N/A
Venue sample size	6	0	N/A	N/A

Attack

North Queensland Cowboys score 46.2 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 5.8

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	Dolphins	Direction	Edge note
Average points scored	26.2	29.733	Higher is better	-0.1
Average tries scored	4.667	5	Higher is better	-0.0
Average line breaks	6	6.267	Higher is better	-0.0

Discipline

North Queensland Cowboys score 48.4 | weight 0.05 | weighted contribution 2.4

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	Dolphins	Direction	Edge note
Average completion rate	76.733	76.2	Higher is better	+0.0
Average penalties conceded	5.133	4.667	Lower is better	-0.0
Average errors	11.533	11.4	Lower is better	-0.0

Season Strength

North Queensland Cowboys score 56.6 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 8.5

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	Dolphins	Direction	Edge note
Win rate	0.615	0.545	Higher is better	+0.1
Average point differential	1	4.636	Higher is better	-0.1
Average points scored	25.308	26.364	Higher is better	-0.0
Average points conceded	24.308	21.727	Lower is better	-0.1
Average tries scored	4.538	4.455	Higher is better	+0.0
Average tries conceded	4.385	3.909	Lower is better	-0.1