Market detail

H2H market

Ripoff

Wests TigersvsPenrith Panthers

Wests Tigers at PointsBet (AU).

Odds 3.80Fair Odds 3.95Margin 6.3% · AverageSun, 7 June, 4:00 amOdds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

10.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

24.8%

At PointsBet (AU)

Footylab predicted edgeFootylab predicted edgeHow much Footylab thinks the H2H side may be mispriced, in percentage points.

-13.9pp

Probability band · Heavy favourite 85-100%

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.3% · Average

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.93

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-3.0%

Summary

Wests Tigers grades as strong ripoff: the bookmaker expectation is stronger than the stats expectation versus Penrith Panthers, and this bookmaker is pricing above the current market average.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

Betr

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Wests Tigers

Best price

4.00

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

10.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

23.7%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-12.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.6% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.93

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+3.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

SportsBet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Wests Tigers

4.00

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

10.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

23.8%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-12.9

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.0% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.93

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+3.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

TAB

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Wests Tigers

4.00

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

10.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

23.8%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-12.9

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.0% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.93

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+3.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

Unibet

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Wests Tigers

3.85

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

10.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

24.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-13.7

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.0% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.93

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-1.4%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

PointsBet (AU)

Odds updated Sun, 31 May, 9:37 pm UTC

Wests Tigers

Selected bookmaker

3.80

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

10.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

24.8%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-13.9

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

6.3% · Average

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.93

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-3.0%

Collected Sun, 31 May, 9:38 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Team

Mini summary

Wests Tigers

Best priceOddsThe quoted decimal price for the selection.

Betr|4.00

Stats impliedStats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

10.9%

Odds impliedOdds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

23.7%

Avg value scoreOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

-13.2 pts

Stats ratingStats RatingA 0-100 rating for the underlying stats profile.

39.0

Availability mult

0.55 (0.76 rel)

Wins last 5Wins last 5Team wins across the most recent five available results.

2/5

Wins last 10Wins last 10Team wins across the most recent ten available results.

5/10

Wests Tigers rate behind Penrith Panthers on the current stats profile.

6/7 stat categories favour Penrith Panthers.

Last 5 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
30 May	Canterbury Bulldogs	W	22-16
16 May	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	L	18-46
10 May	Melbourne Storm	L	16-44
3 May	Cronulla Sutherland Sharks	L	10-52
23 Apr	Canberra Raiders	W	33-14

Defence

Wests Tigers score 18.2 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 2.3

Expand metrics

Metric	Wests Tigers	Penrith Panthers	Direction	Edge note
Season Loss Rate	0.455	0.083	Lower is better	-0.7
Season Heavy Loss Rate	0.273	0.083	Lower is better	-0.5
Season Avg Point Differential	-0.909	17.083	Higher is better	-1.0
Season Avg Points Against	25.909	13.667	Lower is better	-0.3
Average points conceded	26.067	14.267	Lower is better	-0.3
Average tries conceded	4.6	2.467	Lower is better	-0.3
Avg Losing Margin	16.375	9	Lower is better	-0.3
Heavy Loss Rate	0.267	0.067	Lower is better	-0.6
Average line breaks conceded	5.6	3.533	Lower is better	-0.2
Average missed tackles	33.133	32.933	Lower is better	-0.0
Average tackle efficiency	87.661	87.933	Higher is better	-0.0

Opponent Weakness

Wests Tigers score 21.2 | weight 0.1 | weighted contribution 2.1

Expand metrics

Metric	Wests Tigers	Penrith Panthers	Direction	Edge note
Opponent Season Loss Rate	0.083	0.455	Higher is better	-0.7
Opponent Season Win Rate	0.917	0.545	Lower is better	-0.3
Opponent Season Point Differential	17.083	-0.909	Lower is better	-1.0
Opponent Loss Rate	0.133	0.533	Higher is better	-0.6
Opponent Win Rate	0.867	0.467	Lower is better	-0.3
Opponent Avg Point Differential	15.933	-1.6	Lower is better	-1.0
Opponent Avg Points For	30.2	24.467	Lower is better	-0.1
Opponent average points conceded	14.267	26.067	Higher is better	-0.3
Opponent Heavy Loss Rate	0.067	0.267	Higher is better	-0.6
Opponent Avg Losing Margin	9	16.375	Higher is better	-0.3
Opponent average tries conceded	2.467	4.6	Higher is better	-0.3
Opponent average line breaks conceded	3.533	5.6	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent average missed tackles	32.933	33.133	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent average tackle efficiency	87.933	87.661	Lower is better	-0.0
Opponent average completion rate	81	78.533	Lower is better	-0.0
Opponent average penalties conceded	4.133	4.867	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent average errors	10.867	11.4	Higher is better	-0.0

Recent Form

Wests Tigers score 36.0 | weight 0.3 | weighted contribution 10.8

Expand metrics

Metric	Wests Tigers	Penrith Panthers	Direction	Edge note
Recent performance scoreRecent performanceA recency-weighted result score across the latest five team games.	40	100	Higher is better	-0.6
Win rate	0.4	1	Higher is better	-0.8
Average point differential	-14.6	14	Higher is better	-1.0
Average points scored	19.8	28	Higher is better	-0.3
Average points conceded	34.4	14	Lower is better	-0.7
Average tries scored	3.6	5	Higher is better	-0.3
Average tries conceded	6	2.4	Lower is better	-0.7

Season Strength

Wests Tigers score 51.5 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 7.7

Expand metrics

Metric	Wests Tigers	Penrith Panthers	Direction	Edge note
Win rate	0.545	0.917	Higher is better	-0.5
Average point differential	-0.909	17.083	Higher is better	-0.6
Average points scored	25	30.75	Higher is better	-0.2
Average points conceded	25.909	13.667	Lower is better	-0.4
Average tries scored	4.364	5.333	Higher is better	-0.2
Average tries conceded	4.636	2.417	Lower is better	-0.4

Attack

Wests Tigers score 41.5 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 5.2

Expand metrics

Metric	Wests Tigers	Penrith Panthers	Direction	Edge note
Average points scored	24.467	30.2	Higher is better	-0.1
Average tries scored	4.267	5.2	Higher is better	-0.1
Average line breaks	5.067	5.8	Higher is better	-0.1

Home / Venue Edge

Wests Tigers score 57.0 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 8.6

Expand metrics

Metric	Wests Tigers	Penrith Panthers	Direction	Edge note
Match role	Home	Away	N/A	N/A
Base home advantage applied to Wests Tigers	Applied	Not applied	N/A	+0.2
Wests Tigers current-season home win rate	0.667	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Wests Tigers current-season home point differential	7.333	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Penrith Panthers current-season away win rate	N/A	0.8	Higher is better	-0.1
Penrith Panthers current-season away point differential	N/A	13	Higher is better	-0.1
Wests Tigers current-season venue win rate at CommBank Stadium	1	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Wests Tigers current-season venue point differential at CommBank Stadium	4	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Penrith Panthers current-season venue win rate at CommBank Stadium	N/A	1	Higher is better	-0.0
Penrith Panthers current-season venue point differential at CommBank Stadium	N/A	18	Higher is better	-0.0
Wests Tigers home sample size	6	N/A	N/A	N/A
Penrith Panthers away sample size	N/A	5	N/A	N/A
Venue sample size	2	4	N/A	N/A

Discipline

Wests Tigers score 46.2 | weight 0.05 | weighted contribution 2.3

Expand metrics

Metric	Wests Tigers	Penrith Panthers	Direction	Edge note
Average completion rate	78.533	81	Higher is better	-0.0
Average penalties conceded	4.867	4.133	Lower is better	-0.1
Average errors	11.4	10.867	Lower is better	-0.0