Market detail

H2H market

Value

Wests TigersvsGold Coast Titans

Gold Coast Titans at SportsBet.

Odds 3.43Fair Odds 3.40Margin 4.9% · GoodSun, 14 June, 6:05 amOdds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:26 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.7%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

27.8%

At SportsBet

Footylab predicted edgeFootylab predicted edgeHow much Footylab thinks the H2H side may be mispriced, in percentage points.

+15.9pp

Probability band · Heavy favourite 85-100%

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

4.9% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.39

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+1.5%

Summary

Gold Coast Titans grades as strong value: the stats expectation is stronger than the bookmaker expectation versus Wests Tigers, and this bookmaker is pricing above the current market average.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

SportsBet

Odds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:26 pm UTC

Gold Coast Titans

Selected bookmakerBest price

3.43

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.7%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

27.8%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+15.9

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

4.9% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.39

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+1.5%

Collected Thu, 4 June, 1:26 pm UTC

TAB

Odds updated Thu, 4 June, 1:26 pm UTC

Gold Coast Titans

3.35

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.7%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

28.4%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+15.3

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.0% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.39

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-1.5%

Collected Thu, 4 June, 1:26 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Team

Mini summary

Gold Coast Titans

Best priceOddsThe quoted decimal price for the selection.

SportsBet|3.43

Stats impliedStats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

43.7%

Odds impliedOdds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

27.8%

Avg value scoreOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+15.6 pts

Stats ratingStats RatingA 0-100 rating for the underlying stats profile.

26.7

Availability mult

0.90 (1.24 rel)

Wins last 5Wins last 5Team wins across the most recent five available results.

0/5

Wins last 10Wins last 10Team wins across the most recent ten available results.

2/10

Gold Coast Titans rate behind Wests Tigers on the current stats profile.

7/7 stat categories favour Wests Tigers.

Last 5 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 May	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	L	10-12
17 May	Newcastle Knights	L	12-36
8 May	Sydney Roosters	L	12-28
2 May	Canberra Raiders	L	12-28
18 Apr	New Zealand Warriors	L	20-28

Opponent Weakness

Gold Coast Titans score 31.9 | weight 0.1 | weighted contribution 3.2

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Titans	Wests Tigers	Direction	Edge note
Opponent Season Loss Rate	0.455	0.818	Higher is better	-0.3
Opponent Season Win Rate	0.545	0.182	Lower is better	-0.5
Opponent Season Point Differential	-0.909	-8	Lower is better	-0.8
Opponent Loss Rate	0.533	0.8	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent Win Rate	0.467	0.2	Lower is better	-0.4
Opponent Avg Point Differential	-1.6	-8.8	Lower is better	-0.7
Opponent Avg Points For	24.467	19.867	Lower is better	-0.1
Opponent average points conceded	26.067	28.667	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent Heavy Loss Rate	0.267	0.533	Higher is better	-0.3
Opponent Avg Losing Margin	16.375	15.833	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent average tries conceded	4.6	5.133	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent average line breaks conceded	5.6	4.733	Higher is better	+0.1
Opponent average missed tackles	33.133	32.933	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent average tackle efficiency	87.661	87.967	Lower is better	+0.0
Opponent average completion rate	78.533	73.333	Lower is better	-0.0
Opponent average penalties conceded	4.867	4.467	Higher is better	+0.0
Opponent average errors	11.4	13.2	Higher is better	-0.1

Home / Venue Edge

Gold Coast Titans score 33.1 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 5.0

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Titans	Wests Tigers	Direction	Edge note
Match role	Away	Home	N/A	N/A
Base home advantage applied to Wests Tigers	Not applied	Applied	N/A	-0.2
Wests Tigers current-season home win rate	N/A	0.667	Higher is better	-0.0
Wests Tigers current-season home point differential	N/A	7.333	Higher is better	-0.0
Gold Coast Titans current-season away win rate	0.143	N/A	Higher is better	-0.1
Gold Coast Titans current-season away point differential	-6	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Wests Tigers current-season venue win rate at Leichhardt Oval	N/A	1	Higher is better	-0.0
Wests Tigers current-season venue point differential at Leichhardt Oval	N/A	23.5	Higher is better	-0.0
Gold Coast Titans current-season venue win rate at Leichhardt Oval	0.5	N/A	Higher is better	0.0
Gold Coast Titans current-season venue point differential at Leichhardt Oval	0	N/A	Higher is better	0.0
Wests Tigers home sample size	N/A	6	N/A	N/A
Gold Coast Titans away sample size	7	N/A	N/A	N/A
Venue sample size	0	2	N/A	N/A

Defence

Gold Coast Titans score 35.4 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 4.4

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Titans	Wests Tigers	Direction	Edge note
Season Loss Rate	0.818	0.455	Lower is better	-0.3
Season Heavy Loss Rate	0.545	0.273	Lower is better	-0.3
Season Avg Point Differential	-8	-0.909	Higher is better	-0.8
Season Avg Points Against	25.455	25.909	Lower is better	+0.0
Average points conceded	28.667	26.067	Lower is better	-0.0
Average tries conceded	5.133	4.6	Lower is better	-0.1
Avg Losing Margin	15.833	16.375	Lower is better	+0.0
Heavy Loss Rate	0.533	0.267	Lower is better	-0.3
Average line breaks conceded	4.733	5.6	Lower is better	+0.1
Average missed tackles	32.933	33.133	Lower is better	+0.0
Average tackle efficiency	87.967	87.661	Higher is better	+0.0

Recent Form

Gold Coast Titans score 8.0 | weight 0.3 | weighted contribution 2.4

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Titans	Wests Tigers	Direction	Edge note
Recent performance scoreRecent performanceA recency-weighted result score across the latest five team games.	0	40	Higher is better	-0.4
Win rate	0	0.4	Higher is better	-0.5
Average point differential	-13.2	-14.6	Higher is better	+0.0
Average points scored	13.2	19.8	Higher is better	-0.2
Average points conceded	26.4	34.4	Lower is better	+0.3
Average tries scored	2.4	3.6	Higher is better	-0.2
Average tries conceded	5	6	Lower is better	+0.2

Season Strength

Gold Coast Titans score 27.3 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 4.1

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Titans	Wests Tigers	Direction	Edge note
Win rate	0.182	0.545	Higher is better	-0.5
Average point differential	-8	-0.909	Higher is better	-0.2
Average points scored	17.455	25	Higher is better	-0.3
Average points conceded	25.455	25.909	Lower is better	+0.0
Average tries scored	3	4.364	Higher is better	-0.3
Average tries conceded	4.636	4.636	Lower is better	0.0

Attack

Gold Coast Titans score 41.7 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 5.2

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Titans	Wests Tigers	Direction	Edge note
Average points scored	19.867	24.467	Higher is better	-0.1
Average tries scored	3.4	4.267	Higher is better	-0.1
Average line breaks	4.6	5.067	Higher is better	-0.0

Discipline

Gold Coast Titans score 48.0 | weight 0.05 | weighted contribution 2.4

Expand metrics

Metric	Gold Coast Titans	Wests Tigers	Direction	Edge note
Average completion rate	73.333	78.533	Higher is better	-0.0
Average penalties conceded	4.467	4.867	Lower is better	+0.0
Average errors	13.2	11.4	Lower is better	-0.1