Market detail

H2H market

Value

New Zealand WarriorsvsNorth Queensland Cowboys

North Queensland Cowboys at Ladbrokes.

Odds 3.35Fair Odds 3.21Margin 5.0% · GoodSun, 21 June, 4:00 amOdds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

46.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

28.4%

At Ladbrokes

Footylab predicted edgeFootylab predicted edgeHow much Footylab thinks the H2H side may be mispriced, in percentage points.

+18.5pp

Probability band · Heavy favourite 85-100%

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.0% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.17

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+6.5%

Summary

North Queensland Cowboys grades as strong value: the stats expectation is stronger than the bookmaker expectation versus New Zealand Warriors, and this bookmaker is pricing above the current market average.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

Ladbrokes

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

Selected bookmakerBest price

3.35

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

46.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

28.4%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+18.5

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.0% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.17

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+6.5%

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Neds

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

3.35

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

46.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

28.4%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+18.5

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.0% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.17

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+6.5%

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Dabble AU

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

3.25

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

46.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

29.3%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+17.6

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

4.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.17

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+2.6%

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Betr

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

3.20

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

46.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

29.7%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+17.2

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.17

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+0.6%

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

SportsBet

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

3.16

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

46.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

30.1%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+16.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.2% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.17

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-0.9%

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

TAB

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:18 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

3.10

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

46.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

30.8%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+16.1

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

4.7% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.17

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-3.3%

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Unibet

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

3.10

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

46.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

30.6%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+16.3

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.17

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-3.3%

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Bet Right

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

3.05

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

46.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

31.2%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+15.7

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.3% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.17

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-5.2%

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

PointsBet (AU)

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

North Queensland Cowboys

3.00

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

46.9%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

31.5%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+15.4

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

3.17

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-7.2%

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Team

Mini summary

North Queensland Cowboys

Best priceOddsThe quoted decimal price for the selection.

Ladbrokes|3.35

Stats impliedStats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

46.9%

Odds impliedOdds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

28.4%

Avg value scoreOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+16.9 pts

Stats ratingStats RatingA 0-100 rating for the underlying stats profile.

40.0

Availability mult

0.97 (1.27 rel)

Wins last 5Wins last 5Team wins across the most recent five available results.

2/5

Wins last 10Wins last 10Team wins across the most recent ten available results.

6/10

North Queensland Cowboys rate behind New Zealand Warriors on the current stats profile.

7/7 stat categories favour New Zealand Warriors.

Last 5 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
6 June	Dolphins	L	14-40
31 May	Canberra Raiders	L	12-26
24 May	South Sydney Rabbitohs	W	30-18
16 May	Sydney Roosters	W	18-12
8 May	Parramatta Eels	L	30-33

Defence

North Queensland Cowboys score 28.0 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 3.5

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Season Loss Rate	0.429	0.308	Lower is better	-0.2
Season Heavy Loss Rate	0.286	0.154	Lower is better	-0.3
Season Avg Point Differential	-0.929	11.692	Higher is better	-1.0
Season Avg Points Against	25.429	17.231	Lower is better	-0.2
Average points conceded	26.267	18.333	Lower is better	-0.2
Average tries conceded	4.733	3.2	Lower is better	-0.2
Avg Losing Margin	17.286	8.833	Lower is better	-0.3
Heavy Loss Rate	0.267	0.2	Lower is better	-0.1
Average line breaks conceded	6.067	4.333	Lower is better	-0.2
Average missed tackles	37.267	34	Lower is better	-0.0
Average tackle efficiency	86.751	87.151	Higher is better	-0.0

Opponent Weakness

North Queensland Cowboys score 30.5 | weight 0.1 | weighted contribution 3.1

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Opponent Season Loss Rate	0.308	0.429	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent Season Win Rate	0.692	0.571	Lower is better	-0.1
Opponent Season Point Differential	11.692	-0.929	Lower is better	-1.0
Opponent Loss Rate	0.4	0.467	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Win Rate	0.6	0.533	Lower is better	-0.1
Opponent Avg Point Differential	9	-1.4	Lower is better	-1.0
Opponent Avg Points For	27.333	24.867	Lower is better	-0.0
Opponent average points conceded	18.333	26.267	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent Heavy Loss Rate	0.2	0.267	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Avg Losing Margin	8.833	17.286	Higher is better	-0.3
Opponent average tries conceded	3.2	4.733	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent average line breaks conceded	4.333	6.067	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent average missed tackles	34	37.267	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent average tackle efficiency	87.151	86.751	Lower is better	-0.0
Opponent average completion rate	81.667	76.667	Lower is better	-0.0
Opponent average penalties conceded	4.333	5.2	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent average errors	10.867	11.6	Higher is better	-0.0

Home / Venue Edge

North Queensland Cowboys score 38.1 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 5.7

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Match role	Away	Home	N/A	N/A
Base home advantage applied to New Zealand Warriors	Not applied	Applied	N/A	-0.2
New Zealand Warriors current-season home win rate	N/A	0.714	Higher is better	-0.0
New Zealand Warriors current-season home point differential	N/A	11.143	Higher is better	-0.0
North Queensland Cowboys current-season away win rate	0.571	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
North Queensland Cowboys current-season away point differential	0.857	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
New Zealand Warriors current-season venue win rate at One NZ Stadium	N/A	0.5	Higher is better	0.0
New Zealand Warriors current-season venue point differential at One NZ Stadium	N/A	0	Higher is better	0.0
North Queensland Cowboys current-season venue win rate at One NZ Stadium	0.5	N/A	Higher is better	0.0
North Queensland Cowboys current-season venue point differential at One NZ Stadium	0	N/A	Higher is better	0.0
New Zealand Warriors home sample size	N/A	7	N/A	N/A
North Queensland Cowboys away sample size	7	N/A	N/A	N/A
Venue sample size	0	0	N/A	N/A

Recent Form

North Queensland Cowboys score 38.1 | weight 0.3 | weighted contribution 11.4

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Recent performance scoreRecent performanceA recency-weighted result score across the latest five team games.	33.333	40	Higher is better	-0.1
Win rate	0.4	0.6	Higher is better	-0.3
Average point differential	-5	13.2	Higher is better	-0.6
Average points scored	20.8	26.8	Higher is better	-0.2
Average points conceded	25.8	13.6	Lower is better	-0.4
Average tries scored	3.6	4.6	Higher is better	-0.2
Average tries conceded	4.8	2.4	Lower is better	-0.5

Season Strength

North Queensland Cowboys score 52.8 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 7.9

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Win rate	0.571	0.692	Higher is better	-0.2
Average point differential	-0.929	11.692	Higher is better	-0.4
Average points scored	24.5	28.923	Higher is better	-0.2
Average points conceded	25.429	17.231	Lower is better	-0.3
Average tries scored	4.429	5	Higher is better	-0.1
Average tries conceded	4.571	3	Lower is better	-0.3

Discipline

North Queensland Cowboys score 45.1 | weight 0.05 | weighted contribution 2.3

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Average completion rate	76.667	81.667	Higher is better	-0.0
Average penalties conceded	5.2	4.333	Lower is better	-0.1
Average errors	11.6	10.867	Lower is better	-0.0

Attack

North Queensland Cowboys score 48.9 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 6.1

Expand metrics

Metric	North Queensland Cowboys	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Average points scored	24.867	27.333	Higher is better	-0.0
Average tries scored	4.467	4.733	Higher is better	-0.0
Average line breaks	5.867	5.4	Higher is better	+0.0