Market detail

H2H market

Value

DolphinsvsNew Zealand Warriors

Dolphins at SportsBet.

Odds 1.64Fair Odds 1.64Margin 5.2% · GoodSat, 27 June, 5:00 amOdds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTCMatch page

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

82.8%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

58.0%

At SportsBet

Footylab predicted edgeFootylab predicted edgeHow much Footylab thinks the H2H side may be mispriced, in percentage points.

+24.8pp

Probability band · Soft favourite 55-70%

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.2% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.64

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+0.4%

Summary

Dolphins grades as strong value: the stats expectation is stronger than the bookmaker expectation versus New Zealand Warriors, and this bookmaker is pricing above the current market average.

Bookmaker comparison

Compare the same six market metrics across each bookmaker, with the selected bookmaker highlighted.

SportsBet

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Dolphins

Selected bookmakerBest price

1.64

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

82.8%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

58.0%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+24.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.2% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.64

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

+0.4%

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Betr

Odds updated Wed, 17 June, 12:20 pm UTC

Dolphins

1.63

Stats implied win %Stats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

82.8%

Odds implied win %Odds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

58.0%

Overall valueOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+24.8

MarginMarginBookmaker margin or ATS margin proxy.

5.8% · Good

Market average oddsMarket AverageThe average available price across comparable bookmaker quotes.

1.64

Relative edge to marketMarket EdgeHow the selected price compares with the current market range.

-0.4%

Collected Wed, 17 June, 12:21 pm UTC

Stats Breakdown

The same stat breakdown shown on the match page, focused on this market type. Metric definitions

H2H stats breakdown

Quick interpretation first, then recent results, then the category metrics underneath.

Team

Mini summary

Dolphins

Best priceOddsThe quoted decimal price for the selection.

SportsBet|1.64

Stats impliedStats impliedFootylab's stats-based probability for the team or player.

82.8%

Odds impliedOdds impliedThe chance implied by the listed bookmaker price.

58.0%

Avg value scoreOverall ValueFor ATS markets only: the value/fair/ripoff score centered around zero.

+24.8 pts

Stats ratingStats RatingA 0-100 rating for the underlying stats profile.

67.5

Availability mult

1.00 (1.29 rel)

Wins last 5Wins last 5Team wins across the most recent five available results.

5/5

Wins last 10Wins last 10Team wins across the most recent ten available results.

6/10

Dolphins rate behind New Zealand Warriors on the current stats profile.

4/7 stat categories favour New Zealand Warriors.

Last 5 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
12 June	Sydney Roosters	W	48-10
6 June	North Queensland Cowboys	W	40-14
21 May	Canberra Raiders	W	30-22
15 May	South Sydney Rabbitohs	W	32-10
7 May	Canterbury Bulldogs	W	44-12

Recent Form

Dolphins score 96.9 | weight 0.3 | weighted contribution 29.1

Expand metrics

Metric	Dolphins	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Recent performance scoreRecent performanceA recency-weighted result score across the latest five team games.	100	40	Higher is better	+0.6
Win rate	1	0.6	Higher is better	+0.5
Average point differential	25.2	13.2	Higher is better	+0.4
Average points scored	38.8	26.8	Higher is better	+0.4
Average points conceded	13.6	13.6	Lower is better	0.0
Average tries scored	6.6	4.6	Higher is better	+0.4
Average tries conceded	2.6	2.4	Lower is better	-0.0

Home / Venue Edge

Dolphins score 59.0 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 8.9

Expand metrics

Metric	Dolphins	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Match role	Home	Away	N/A	N/A
Base home advantage applied to Dolphins	Applied	Not applied	N/A	+0.2
Dolphins current-season home win rate	0.571	N/A	Higher is better	-0.0
Dolphins current-season home point differential	6.714	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
New Zealand Warriors current-season away win rate	N/A	0.667	Higher is better	-0.1
New Zealand Warriors current-season away point differential	N/A	12.333	Higher is better	-0.1
Dolphins current-season venue win rate at Suncorp Stadium	0.714	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
Dolphins current-season venue point differential at Suncorp Stadium	12.857	N/A	Higher is better	+0.0
New Zealand Warriors current-season venue win rate at Suncorp Stadium	N/A	1	Higher is better	-0.0
New Zealand Warriors current-season venue point differential at Suncorp Stadium	N/A	30	Higher is better	-0.0
Dolphins home sample size	7	N/A	N/A	N/A
New Zealand Warriors away sample size	N/A	6	N/A	N/A
Venue sample size	7	1	N/A	N/A

Attack

Dolphins score 57.4 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 7.2

Expand metrics

Metric	Dolphins	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Average points scored	31.733	27.333	Higher is better	+0.1
Average tries scored	5.4	4.733	Higher is better	+0.1
Average line breaks	6.533	5.4	Higher is better	+0.1

Discipline

Dolphins score 46.0 | weight 0.05 | weighted contribution 2.3

Expand metrics

Metric	Dolphins	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Average completion rate	77.333	81.667	Higher is better	-0.0
Average penalties conceded	5	4.333	Lower is better	-0.1
Average errors	11.467	10.867	Lower is better	-0.0

Defence

Dolphins score 46.5 | weight 0.125 | weighted contribution 5.8

Expand metrics

Metric	Dolphins	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Season Loss Rate	0.385	0.308	Lower is better	-0.1
Season Heavy Loss Rate	0.154	0.154	Lower is better	0.0
Season Avg Point Differential	8.846	11.692	Higher is better	-0.1
Season Avg Points Against	20.231	17.231	Lower is better	-0.1
Average points conceded	21.133	18.333	Lower is better	-0.1
Average tries conceded	3.8	3.2	Lower is better	-0.1
Avg Losing Margin	12.2	8.833	Lower is better	-0.2
Heavy Loss Rate	0.133	0.2	Lower is better	+0.2
Average line breaks conceded	4.667	4.333	Lower is better	-0.0
Average missed tackles	29.933	34	Lower is better	+0.1
Average tackle efficiency	89.131	87.151	Higher is better	+0.0

Season Strength

Dolphins score 62.8 | weight 0.15 | weighted contribution 9.4

Expand metrics

Metric	Dolphins	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Win rate	0.615	0.692	Higher is better	-0.1
Average point differential	8.846	11.692	Higher is better	-0.1
Average points scored	29.077	28.923	Higher is better	+0.0
Average points conceded	20.231	17.231	Lower is better	-0.1
Average tries scored	4.923	5	Higher is better	-0.0
Average tries conceded	3.692	3	Lower is better	-0.1

Opponent Weakness

Dolphins score 48.8 | weight 0.1 | weighted contribution 4.9

Expand metrics

Metric	Dolphins	New Zealand Warriors	Direction	Edge note
Opponent Season Loss Rate	0.308	0.385	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Season Win Rate	0.692	0.615	Lower is better	-0.1
Opponent Season Point Differential	11.692	8.846	Lower is better	-0.1
Opponent Loss Rate	0.4	0.333	Higher is better	+0.1
Opponent Win Rate	0.6	0.667	Lower is better	+0.1
Opponent Avg Point Differential	9	10.6	Lower is better	+0.1
Opponent Avg Points For	27.333	31.733	Lower is better	+0.1
Opponent average points conceded	18.333	21.133	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent Heavy Loss Rate	0.2	0.133	Higher is better	+0.2
Opponent Avg Losing Margin	8.833	12.2	Higher is better	-0.2
Opponent average tries conceded	3.2	3.8	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent average line breaks conceded	4.333	4.667	Higher is better	-0.0
Opponent average missed tackles	34	29.933	Higher is better	+0.1
Opponent average tackle efficiency	87.151	89.131	Lower is better	+0.0
Opponent average completion rate	81.667	77.333	Lower is better	-0.0
Opponent average penalties conceded	4.333	5	Higher is better	-0.1
Opponent average errors	10.867	11.467	Higher is better	-0.0